US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
13.5¢
YES
86.5¢
NO
73.0¢
Spread
conv0Conviction — % of recent trades going one direction (30 min window)whale0Whale Activity — large wallet trades $10k+ in last 24hedge0Edge Score — (Conviction + Whale) / 2, overall signal strengthmom0Momentum — trade frequency vs baseline (30 min window)💡 4 smartSmart wallets (5+ trades, positive PnL) active in last 24h
24h sample:443 trades17% YES83% NO
Price History
Orderbook YES/NO
Loading orderbook…
Signals Trend
Live Tapeupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Whale Trades$10,000+Δ now
Related Markets · Geopolitics
Netanyahu out by March 31?
0.4¢$78.7M29
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
0.7¢$54.6M19
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
1.5¢$38.8M17
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
11.8¢$34.7M57
💡 Smart Wallets · 7d