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Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Clement Chidekh

● quote 241 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $304.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $208.2KEvent: Knoxville: Liam Draxl vs Clement Chidekh

Indicative prices · 241 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

3.0¢
Liam Draxl
99.9¢
Clement Chidekh
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets93Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:126 trades$51.7K trackedsource coverage 25%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 242 min agoofficial metadata 239 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Clement Chidekh · $13.1K net·6 wallets·$14.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLClement Chidekh$6.6K@ 100¢·MximusSport

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$16.6K
tracked
$51.7K

6 verified profitable wallets: Clement Chidekh · $13.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 241 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 242 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 239 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-20 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Liam Draxl and Clement Chidekh in the Knoxville, originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liam Draxl' if Liam Draxl advances against Clement Chidekh. This market will resolve to 'Clement Chidekh' if Clement Chidekh advances against Liam Draxl. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf898…e7202 linked markets · $15 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Liam Draxl DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $5.1K → $629 · 19s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Liam Draxl; negative values favor Clement Chidekh. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLiam Draxl · $0
6hClement Chidekh · $16.6K
24hClement Chidekh · $16.9K

Liam Draxl price VWAP

Volume-weighted Liam Draxl price. Clement Chidekh fills are converted to the complementary Liam Draxl probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current3.0¢
VWAP 24h28.97¢▼ below by 26.0pp
VWAP 7d28.97¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Liam Draxl price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$2
55¢
$2.2K
50¢
$6.3K
45¢
$1.1K
40¢
$10.4K
35¢
$4.0K
30¢
$5.2K
25¢
$3.3K
20¢
$2.0K
15¢
$5.2K
10¢
$0
5¢
$3.9K
0¢
← now
$8.2K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

VenusianClement Chidekh$10.7K
BUY VWAP 60.06¢·11 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.