UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)

● quote 31s ago

Sports→Combat SportsCloses: 4 daysLiquidity: $499.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $142.9KEvent: UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Indicative prices · 31s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

35.5¢

Josh Hokit

64.5¢

Ciryl Gane

1.0¢

Spread

anomaly1Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:36 trades$46.6K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 41 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Josh Hokit · $19.8K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$19.8K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJosh Hokit$18.4K@ 35¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

−$22

+$25.0K

tracked

$46.6K

2 verified profitable wallets: Josh Hokit · $19.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Observed tape is 41 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-11-15 04:59 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events

Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Josh Hokit" if Josh Hokit is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ciryl Gane at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Ciryl Gane" if Ciryl Gane is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Josh Hokit" if Josh Hokit is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ciryl Gane at UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit, scheduled for November 14, 2026. It will resolve to "Ciryl Gane" if Ciryl Gane is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 28, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Josh Hokit; negative values favor Ciryl Gane. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hCiryl Gane · $22

6hJosh Hokit · $25.0K

24hJosh Hokit · $36.8K

Josh Hokit price VWAP

Volume-weighted Josh Hokit price. Ciryl Gane fills are converted to the complementary Josh Hokit probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current35.5¢

VWAP 24h34.51¢▲ above by 1.0pp

VWAP 7d33.49¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Josh Hokit price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

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