Heat vs. Jazz

● quote 12s ago

Sports→BasketballCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $222.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $442.1KEvent: Heat vs. Jazz

Indicative prices · 12s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

77.5¢

Heat

22.5¢

Jazz

1.0¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets29Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:118 trades$178.9K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 16 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jazz · $6.1K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$21.2K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHeat$18.6K@ 75¢·quavoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

Jazz pressure: $4.7K net directional flow in 1h.

−$4.7K

+$76.8K

tracked

$178.9K

3 verified profitable wallets: Jazz · $6.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Since latest accumulation: -1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Observed tape is 16 minutes old.
•Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Jazz or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-11-11 02:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/

Outcome meaning

•If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat".

•If the Jazz win, the market will resolve to "Jazz".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Heat and Jazz, originally scheduled for Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the Jazz win, the market will resolve to "Jazz". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Thursday, November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

ropetard3 linked markets · $104.6K gross

quavoo9 linked markets · $101.9K gross

mooseborzoi9 linked markets · $67.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Heat@ 79.0¢3h ago

15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp

LARGE FLOWBUY Heat@ 79.0¢3h ago

15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Heat; negative values favor Jazz. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hJazz · $4.7K

6hHeat · $76.8K

24hHeat · $65.0K

Heat price VWAP

Volume-weighted Heat price. Jazz fills are converted to the complementary Heat probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current77.5¢

VWAP 24h75.94¢▲ above by 1.6pp

VWAP 7d75.94¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Heat price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

$458

75¢

← now

$162.4K

70¢