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WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 4 daysLiquidity: $301.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $931.9KEvent: WTA Finals, Group B: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elina Svitolina

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
Aryna Sabalenka
99.95¢
Elina Svitolina
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection8Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets17Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 28 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:391 trades$351.1K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 17 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Aryna Sabalenka · $25.9K net·28 wallets(2🐋)·$151.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAryna Sabalenka$31.6K@ 48¢·Woaifacai

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Aryna Sabalenka pressure: $28.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$28.1K
6h
+$57.8K
tracked
$351.1K

28 verified profitable wallets: Aryna Sabalenka · $25.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +4.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 17 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Aryna Sabalenka or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-17 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Aryna Sabalenka and Elina Svitolina in the WTA Finals, Group B, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Aryna Sabalenka' if Aryna Sabalenka advances against Elina Svitolina. This market will resolve to 'Elina Svitolina' if Elina Svitolina advances against Aryna Sabalenka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
extra182 linked markets · $7.2K gross
neutralwave232 linked markets · $6.2K gross
0xcce4…ce073 linked markets · $493 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Elina Svitolina@ 96.0¢34m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Aryna Sabalenka@ 40.0¢43m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Aryna Sabalenka@ 40.0¢43m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Aryna Sabalenka@ 78.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -18.0pp1h INVALIDATED -19.0pp
Latest book event: Aryna Sabalenka DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $328 → $1.4K · 4s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Aryna Sabalenka; negative values favor Elina Svitolina. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAryna Sabalenka · $28.1K
6hAryna Sabalenka · $57.8K
24hAryna Sabalenka · $55.3K

Aryna Sabalenka price VWAP

Volume-weighted Aryna Sabalenka price. Elina Svitolina fills are converted to the complementary Aryna Sabalenka probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h44.86¢▼ below by 44.8pp
VWAP 7d44.89¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Aryna Sabalenka price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$23.2K
75¢
$22.4K
70¢
$10.2K
65¢
$66.1K
60¢
$14.7K
55¢
$2.7K
50¢
$34.0K
45¢
$40.8K
40¢
$11.9K
35¢
$14.2K
30¢
$10.6K
25¢
$1.5K
20¢
$20.4K
15¢
$8.0K
10¢
$0
5¢
$10.3K
0¢
← now
$60.7K

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYElina Svitolina$10.2K@ 97.81¢0x246b…fb5b🐋—35 minutes ago
BUYAryna Sabalenka$31.6K@ 47.57¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAryna Sabalenka$23.1K@ 51.19¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYAryna Sabalenka$15.1K@ 82.83¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAryna Sabalenka$10.7K@ 79.0¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYAryna Sabalenka$19.6K@ 67.86¢
Diablosissmurf0x8735…db43
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

WoaifacaiAryna Sabalenka$77.0K
BUY VWAP 53.54¢·5 fills
DiablosissmurfAryna Sabalenka$19.6K
BUY VWAP 67.86¢·1 fill
0x246b…fb5bElina Svitolina$18.7K
BUY VWAP 87.11¢·2 fills
kkookkooAryna Sabalenka$14.2K
BUY VWAP 76.87¢·2 fills
MadridTimeElina Svitolina$12.9K
BUY VWAP 56.55¢·14 fills
FlaznorpElina Svitolina$12.1K
BUY VWAP 68.08¢·6 fills
LimousinElina Svitolina$11.3K
BUY VWAP 29.58¢·11 fills
0x2c33…0563Elina Svitolina$10.7K
BUY VWAP 71.87¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.