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Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks

● quote 49s ago
Sports→BasketballCloses: 1 dayLiquidity: $847.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.9MEvent: Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks

Indicative prices · 49s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

49.5¢
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns
50.5¢
UNCW Seahawks
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:169 trades$936.1K tracked22% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 183 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:UNCW Seahawks · $1.2K net·3 wallets·$1.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLouisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns$53.3K@ 49¢·Lakersfan111

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$110.7K
tracked
$936.1K

3 verified profitable wallets: UNCW Seahawks · $1.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 183 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-15 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns win, the market will resolve to "Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns".

•If the UNCW Seahawks win, the market will resolve to "UNCW Seahawks".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming CBB game between Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns and UNCW Seahawks, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns win, the market will resolve to "Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns". If the UNCW Seahawks win, the market will resolve to "UNCW Seahawks". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns@ 50.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
POSITION CHANGEBUY Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns@ 49.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
POSITION CHANGEBUY UNCW Seahawks@ 52.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns@ 50.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns; negative values favor UNCW Seahawks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLouisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns · $0
6hUNCW Seahawks · $110.7K
24hUNCW Seahawks · $718.2K

Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns price VWAP

Volume-weighted Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns price. UNCW Seahawks fills are converted to the complementary Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current49.5¢
VWAP 24h48.15¢▲ above by 1.4pp
VWAP 7d48.15¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$1.4K
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.1K
45¢
← now
$933.6K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLouisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns$52.9K@ 49.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$23.5K@ 52.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$12.7K@ 52.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$13.3K@ 52.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$13.0K@ 52.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$35.7K@ 51.4¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$10.2K@ 51.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$15.3K@ 51.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYLouisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns$53.3K@ 49.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$26.0K@ 52.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$13.3K@ 52.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$26.0K@ 52.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$18.9K@ 53.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$18.9K@ 53.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$26.2K@ 52.42¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$16.1K@ 53.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$10.4K@ 53.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$19.1K@ 53.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$21.9K@ 53.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$24.6K@ 52.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$16.4K@ 52.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$16.2K@ 52.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$15.1K@ 52.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$14.7K@ 52.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$11.3K@ 52.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$17.4K@ 52.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$15.2K@ 52.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$20.4K@ 52.05¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$15.6K@ 52.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$10.7K@ 51.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$11.7K@ 52.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$14.3K@ 52.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$14.3K@ 51.99¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$11.7K@ 52.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$16.0K@ 51.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$10.1K@ 51.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYUNCW Seahawks$10.1K@ 51.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—about 13 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

mooseborzoiUNCW Seahawks$789.5K
BUY VWAP 52.03¢·138 fills
Lakersfan111Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns$106.2K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·2 fills
quavooUNCW Seahawks$20.9K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·2 fills
TheOneto3UNCW Seahawks$12.8K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.