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Hersonissos 3: Michele Ribecai vs Adrian Andreev

● quote 192 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $146.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $303.0KEvent: Hersonissos 3: Michele Ribecai vs Adrian Andreev

Indicative prices · 192 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Michele Ribecai
0.1¢
Adrian Andreev
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets4Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 67%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:56 trades$205.5K tracked9% 🐋source coverage 68%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 219 min agoofficial metadata 194 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Adrian Andreev · $1.4K net·7 wallets(1🐋)·$32.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMichele Ribecai$97.4K@ 90¢·tenniz

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$143.1K
tracked
$205.5K

7 verified profitable wallets: Adrian Andreev · $1.4K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 67% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 192 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 219 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 194 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-20 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Michele Ribecai and Adrian Andreev in the Hersonissos 3, originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michele Ribecai' if Michele Ribecai advances against Adrian Andreev. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Andreev' if Adrian Andreev advances against Michele Ribecai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x076d…8d4c2 linked markets · $76 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Michele Ribecai UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $23.9K → $381 · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Michele Ribecai; negative values favor Adrian Andreev. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMichele Ribecai · $0
6hMichele Ribecai · $143.1K
24hMichele Ribecai · $143.1K

Michele Ribecai price VWAP

Volume-weighted Michele Ribecai price. Adrian Andreev fills are converted to the complementary Michele Ribecai probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h88.02¢▲ above by 11.9pp
VWAP 7d88.02¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Michele Ribecai price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$21.4K
90¢
$16.5K
85¢
$146.3K
80¢
$10.9K
75¢
$314
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.1K
60¢
$2.1K
55¢
$3
50¢
$1.2K
45¢
$5.4K
40¢
$153
35¢
$83
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLMichele Ribecai$16.7K@ 99.9¢
xutuu0xe760…19bd
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYMichele Ribecai$97.4K@ 89.52¢
tenniz0xeae1…a67b
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYMichele Ribecai$34.5K@ 87.6¢
tenniz0xeae1…a67b
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYMichele Ribecai$16.5K@ 91.99¢
tenniz0xeae1…a67b
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYMichele Ribecai$14.4K@ 86.64¢
xutuu0xe760…19bd
🐋—about 4 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Ribecai vs. Andreev: Match O/U 22.5
—$73priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ribecai vs. Andreev: Match O/U 21.5
—$15priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Michele Ribecai (-1.5) vs Adrian Andreev (+1.5)
—$10priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Michele Ribecai vs Adrian Andreev
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ribecai vs. Andreev: Match O/U 23.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Michele Ribecai vs. Adrian Andreev: Total Sets O/U 2.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Michele Ribecai (-3.5) vs Adrian Andreev (+3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
37.5¢$3.9Mpriority46Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

tennizMichele Ribecai$148.4K
BUY VWAP 89.33¢·3 fills
xutuuMichele Ribecai$14.4K
BUY VWAP 86.64¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.