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Villa Maria: Valentino Grippo vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri

● quote 440 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 5 daysLiquidity: $313.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $235.2KEvent: Villa Maria: Valentino Grippo vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri

Indicative prices · 440 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

1.0¢
Valentino Grippo
99.9¢
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 50%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:14 trades$4.5K trackedsource coverage 2%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 443 min agoofficial metadata 441 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLGenaro Alberto Olivieri$1.1K@ 100¢·makizinchers

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$4.5K

1 verified profitable wallet: Genaro Alberto Olivieri · $267 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 50% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Tracked source coverage is only 2%.
  • •Executable quote is 440 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 443 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-09 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Valentino Grippo and Genaro Alberto Olivieri in the Villa Maria, originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentino Grippo' if Valentino Grippo advances against Genaro Alberto Olivieri. This market will resolve to 'Genaro Alberto Olivieri' if Genaro Alberto Olivieri advances against Valentino Grippo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Valentino Grippo; negative values favor Genaro Alberto Olivieri. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hValentino Grippo · $0
6hValentino Grippo · $0
24hGenaro Alberto Olivieri · $2.3K

Valentino Grippo price VWAP

Volume-weighted Valentino Grippo price. Genaro Alberto Olivieri fills are converted to the complementary Valentino Grippo probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.0¢
VWAP 24h3.04¢▼ below by 2.0pp
VWAP 7d3.04¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Valentino Grippo price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$2.2K
0¢
← now
$2.4K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.