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LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: 38 minutesLiquidity: $763.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $2.7MEvent: LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
Top Esports
99.95¢
Invictus Gaming
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection8Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets11Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 33 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:447 trades$1.1M tracked5% 🐋source coverage 43%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 12 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Top Esports · $18.3K net·33 wallets(3🐋)·$161.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLInvictus Gaming$46.7K@ 99¢·solo88888

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Invictus Gaming pressure: $94.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$94.1K
6h
−$213.5K
tracked
$1.1M

33 verified profitable wallets: Top Esports · $18.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +14.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 12 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Invictus Gaming or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-04 04:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 4 against Invictus Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 4 against Top Esports.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 4 match between Top Esports and Invictus Gaming in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win Game 4 against Invictus Gaming. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 4 against Top Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 5h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
fhiwbijd5 linked markets · $472.0K gross
Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl3 linked markets · $436.7K gross
fantasy77884 linked markets · $434.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Invictus Gaming@ 86.0¢43m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Invictus Gaming52m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Top Esports@ 40.0¢58m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Invictus Gaming1h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Invictus Gaming DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $4.6K → $5.2K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Top Esports; negative values favor Invictus Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hInvictus Gaming · $94.1K
6hInvictus Gaming · $213.5K
24hInvictus Gaming · $213.5K

Top Esports price VWAP

Volume-weighted Top Esports price. Invictus Gaming fills are converted to the complementary Top Esports probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h32.14¢▼ below by 32.1pp
VWAP 7d32.14¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Top Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.4K
50¢
$5.7K
45¢
$522.9K
40¢
$50.2K
35¢
$114.8K
30¢
$90.6K
25¢
$25.8K
20¢
$15.0K
15¢
$14.8K
10¢
$67.5K
5¢
$73.8K
0¢
← now
$161.4K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLInvictus Gaming$46.7K@ 99.0¢
solo888880xab44…7ffe
🐋—40 minutes ago
SELLInvictus Gaming$29.8K@ 99.0¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—41 minutes ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$20.0K@ 90.87¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$12.1K@ 90.98¢
Ja8880xf94a…396b
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$12.5K@ 88.03¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTop Esports$17.0K@ 37.0¢
fhiwbijd0xb5a5…c668
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$10.6K@ 53.0¢
Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl0x549b…c0ae
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$27.0K@ 54.0¢
Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl0x549b…c0ae
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$10.8K@ 54.0¢
Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl0x549b…c0ae
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$45.9K@ 54.0¢
Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl0x549b…c0ae
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTop Esports$23.5K@ 47.0¢
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN0xdaef…54e9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTop Esports$12.9K@ 47.0¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$27.0K@ 54.0¢
Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl0x549b…c0ae
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$10.8K@ 54.0¢
Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl0x549b…c0ae
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTop Esports$11.0K@ 46.0¢
TAIWANNUMBERONE0xe015…6ffd
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTop Esports$10.2K@ 46.0¢0xfe1a…a67f🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$21.6K@ 54.0¢
Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl0x549b…c0ae
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$32.4K@ 54.0¢
Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl0x549b…c0ae
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTop Esports$13.8K@ 47.96¢
zb80x0224…292a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTop Esports$15.0K@ 46.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYTop Esports$12.0K@ 45.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$11.2K@ 56.0¢
solo888880xab44…7ffe
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
0.05¢$3.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 3.5
99.95¢$154.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)
99.95¢$149.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: IG (-2.5) vs Top Esports (+2.5)
0.05¢$92.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?
99.55¢$39.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 4.5
0.05¢$28.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 3?
—$19.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 4?
0.05¢$18.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Thunderous-Authoritarian-SnarlInvictus Gaming$259.4K
BUY VWAP 55.54¢·22 fills
254321758Invictus Gaming$55.7K
BUY VWAP 78.29¢·7 fills
fhiwbijdTop Esports$47.2K
BUY VWAP 36.03¢·5 fills
BrotherObamaTop Esports$27.0K
BUY VWAP 45.55¢·2 fills
Username2133Invictus Gaming$25.8K
BUY VWAP 77.00¢·9 fills
Ja888Invictus Gaming$24.2K
BUY VWAP 91.49¢·5 fills
Sunshine.SmileTop Esports$24.2K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·3 fills
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FANTop Esports$23.5K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill
zb8Top Esports$18.5K
BUY VWAP 47.64¢·3 fills
xytestInvictus Gaming$18.5K
BUY VWAP 61.66¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.