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LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

Sports→Esports · League of LegendsSettlement: Invictus GamingLiquidity: $367.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $3.0MEvent: LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
0.0¢
Top Esports payout
100.0¢
Invictus Gaming payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:563 trades$912.0K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 31%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 730 min agoofficial metadata 34 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Invictus Gaming · $41.8K net·25 wallets(2🐋)·$71.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYInvictus Gaming$136.7K@ 55¢·fantasy7788

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Invictus Gaming. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-04 04:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Invictus Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win the match against Top Esports.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 4 match between Top Esports and Invictus Gaming in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Top Esports" if Top Esports win the match against Invictus Gaming. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win the match against Top Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 19h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
fhiwbijd5 linked markets · $472.0K gross
Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl3 linked markets · $436.7K gross
fantasy77884 linked markets · $434.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Invictus Gaming@ 80.0¢17h ago
15m INVALIDATED -25.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Invictus Gaming19h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Invictus Gaming19h ago
Outcome checks pending
POSITION CHANGEBUY Invictus Gaming@ 57.0¢19h ago
15m STALLED -3.0pp1h CONFIRMED +20.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Invictus Gaming DOWN 9.5pp · near-book depth $1.1K → $157 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Top Esports; negative values favor Invictus Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTop Esports · $0
6hTop Esports · $0
24hInvictus Gaming · $61.2K

Top Esports price VWAP

Volume-weighted Top Esports price. Invictus Gaming fills are converted to the complementary Top Esports probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h24.78¢▼ below by 24.8pp
VWAP 7d30.03¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Top Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$316.9K
40¢
$358.1K
35¢
$7.5K
30¢
$17.1K
25¢
$75.9K
20¢
$179.5K
15¢
$21.4K
10¢
$11.6K
5¢
$4.6K
0¢
← now
$251.8K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLInvictus Gaming$68.5K@ 99.9¢
Mastermoney0xbe23…b587
🐋—about 12 hours ago
SELLInvictus Gaming$11.1K@ 99.9¢
Sisyphus.0xfc25…1f7f
🐋—about 13 hours ago
SELLInvictus Gaming$10.9K@ 99.9¢
yuyuvkxDD0x33d0…26c0
🐋—about 14 hours ago
SELLInvictus Gaming$19.0K@ 99.9¢
win8886660xb50c…b659
🐋—about 14 hours ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$40.0K@ 99.9¢
owom66vvssuv0x204e…8d08
🐋—about 14 hours ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$11.4K@ 84.96¢
djstellen0x7c5b…948a
🐋—about 15 hours ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$20.0K@ 80.0¢
IlIIIIIIlIIlllIIIll0x2a95…09c8
🐋—about 16 hours ago
BUYTop Esports$13.2K@ 45.0¢
Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl0x549b…c0ae
🐋—about 17 hours ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$12.8K@ 56.0¢
Mastermoney0xbe23…b587
🐋—about 17 hours ago
BUYTop Esports$27.6K@ 26.0¢
fhiwbijd0xb5a5…c668
🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$14.7K@ 75.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYTop Esports$18.6K@ 24.84¢
fhiwbijd0xb5a5…c668
🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYTop Esports$30.0K@ 44.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 19 hours ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$100.0K@ 56.41¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—about 19 hours ago
BUYTop Esports$14.4K@ 45.0¢
qiu30x7f73…14f1
🐋—about 19 hours ago
BUYTop Esports$21.9K@ 45.0¢
qiu30x7f73…14f1
🐋—about 19 hours ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$25.6K@ 56.0¢
Mastermoney0xbe23…b587
🐋—about 19 hours ago
BUYTop Esports$15.0K@ 45.0¢
esportGG0xf070…ac55
🐋—about 20 hours ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$125.3K@ 56.01¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—1 day ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$136.7K@ 54.8¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—1 day ago
BUYTop Esports$41.6K@ 46.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fantasy7788Invictus Gaming$362.0K
BUY VWAP 55.65¢·3 fills
fhiwbijdTop Esports$46.2K
BUY VWAP 25.52¢·2 fills
Lakersfan111Top Esports$41.6K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·1 fill
owom66vvssuvInvictus Gaming$40.0K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
MastermoneyInvictus Gaming$38.4K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·2 fills
qiu3Top Esports$36.3K
BUY VWAP 45.0¢·2 fills
Brz4629Invictus Gaming$34.0K
BUY VWAP 75.11¢·18 fills
lightningboltsInvictus Gaming$32.8K
BUY VWAP 75.11¢·17 fills
BrotherObamaTop Esports$30.0K
BUY VWAP 44.0¢·1 fill
IlIIIIIIlIIlllIIIllInvictus Gaming$20.0K
BUY VWAP 80.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.