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Game Handicap: IG (-2.5) vs Top Esports (+2.5)

Sports→Esports · League of LegendsSettlement: Top EsportsLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $102.2KEvent: LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
0.0¢
Invictus Gaming payout
100.0¢
Top Esports payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:20 trades$56.7K tracked10% 🐋source coverage 64%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 947 min agoofficial metadata 916 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Invictus Gaming · $17.8K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$17.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTop Esports$16.0K@ 100¢·RoshanMVP

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Top Esports. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-04 04:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming wins 3 or more games than Top Esports in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Top Esports".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Quarterfinal 4 match between Top Esports and Invictus Gaming in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming wins 3 or more games than Top Esports in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Top Esports". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 6, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining games required to decide the match, including a game in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 15h ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 22h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
fhiwbijd5 linked markets · $472.0K gross
Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl3 linked markets · $436.7K gross
fantasy77884 linked markets · $434.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Invictus Gaming DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $138 → $65 · 53s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Invictus Gaming; negative values favor Top Esports. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hInvictus Gaming · $9.9K
6hInvictus Gaming · $43.3K
24hInvictus Gaming · $44.3K

Invictus Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted Invictus Gaming price. Top Esports fills are converted to the complementary Invictus Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h2.81¢▼ below by 2.8pp
VWAP 7d2.81¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Invictus Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$1.4K
30¢
$10
25¢
$145
20¢
$571
15¢
$5.4K
10¢
$44
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$51.3K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTop Esports$16.0K@ 99.9¢
RoshanMVP0xa16a…33a1
🐋—about 18 hours ago
SELLTop Esports$15.9K@ 99.9¢
skadii0x1c29…167e
🐋—about 20 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.