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Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO - Map 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $51.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $473.0KEvent: Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
Liquid
0.05¢
TYLOO
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection59Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution90Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:81 trades$213.5K tracked9% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Liquid · $4.9K net·2 wallets·$4.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLiquid$16.9K@ 79¢·heyjason

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Liquid pressure: $125.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$125.9K
6h
+$165.7K
tracked
$213.5K

2 verified profitable wallets: Liquid · $4.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +9.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 9.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Liquid or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-04 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win Map 2 against TYLOO.

•This market will resolve to "TYLOO" if TYLOO win Map 2 against Liquid.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower Bracket Semifinal 1 match between Liquid and TYLOO in the IEM Beijing Group B, initially scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 11:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Liquid" if Liquid win Map 2 against TYLOO. This market will resolve to "TYLOO" if TYLOO win Map 2 against Liquid. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 3, 2026 at 11:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 16h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl2 linked markets · $63.1K gross
fkgggg2mouzfuria3 linked markets · $44.6K gross
0xc9bf…81c02 linked markets · $32.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Liquid15m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Liquid@ 91.0¢30m ago
15m CONFIRMED +8.1pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Liquid33m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Liquid33m ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Liquid UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $21.5K → $6.5K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Liquid; negative values favor TYLOO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLiquid · $125.9K
6hLiquid · $165.7K
24hLiquid · $165.8K

Liquid price VWAP

Volume-weighted Liquid price. TYLOO fills are converted to the complementary Liquid probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h82.47¢▲ above by 17.5pp
VWAP 7d82.47¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Liquid price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$38.6K
90¢
$1.3K
85¢
$43
80¢
$43.6K
75¢
$124.9K
70¢
$5.1K
65¢
$0
60¢
$14
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLiquid$16.2K@ 99.86¢
fkgggg2mouzfuria0x52ec…a6f3
🐋—8 minutes ago
BUYLiquid$14.1K@ 78.5¢
Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl0x549b…c0ae
🐋—43 minutes ago
BUYLiquid$11.1K@ 79.0¢
Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl0x549b…c0ae
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLiquid$11.8K@ 79.0¢
Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl0x549b…c0ae
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLiquid$16.3K@ 80.29¢
heyjason0x083f…4869
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLiquid$16.9K@ 79.1¢
heyjason0x083f…4869
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYLiquid$12.8K@ 78.89¢
heyjason0x083f…4869
🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs TYLOO (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group B
99.75¢$623.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)
99.95¢$39.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
0.05¢$4.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: TYLOO (-1.5) vs Liquid (+1.5)
1.45¢$3.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5)
77.0¢$186priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs TYLOO (+3.5)
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

heyjasonLiquid$86.1K
BUY VWAP 79.14¢·12 fills
Thunderous-Authoritarian-SnarlLiquid$49.4K
BUY VWAP 78.54¢·6 fills
fkgggg2mouzfuriaLiquid$16.2K
BUY VWAP 99.86¢·1 fill
RewardFarmilkaLiquid$15.0K
BUY VWAP 97.96¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.