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Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger

Sports→TennisSettlement: Ashlyn KruegerLiquidity: $896.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $978.7KEvent: Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger
0.0¢
Ann Li payout
100.0¢
Ashlyn Krueger payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:227 trades$341.3K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 28 min agoofficial metadata 18 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Ashlyn Krueger · $63.2K net·18 wallets(3🐋)·$183.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAshlyn Krueger$46.8K@ 35¢·0x2c33…0563

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Ashlyn Krueger. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-31 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Ann Li and Ashlyn Krueger in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ann Li' if Ann Li advances against Ashlyn Krueger. This market will resolve to 'Ashlyn Krueger' if Ashlyn Krueger advances against Ann Li. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 19m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 19m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
SeventyPercentPlus2 linked markets · $31.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Ashlyn Krueger2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Ashlyn Krueger2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Ann Li@ 59.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h INVALIDATED -20.0pp
POSITION CHANGEBUY Ann Li@ 57.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -18.0pp
Latest book event: Ashlyn Krueger UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $107.5K → $52.9K · 23s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ann Li; negative values favor Ashlyn Krueger. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAnn Li · $6.1K
6hAnn Li · $4.7K
24hAnn Li · $17.9K

Ann Li price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ann Li price. Ashlyn Krueger fills are converted to the complementary Ann Li probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h58.11¢▼ below by 58.1pp
VWAP 7d58.11¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ann Li price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$61.2K
70¢
$16.6K
65¢
$60.0K
60¢
$100.0K
55¢
$19.7K
50¢
$22.2K
45¢
$232
40¢
$8.5K
35¢
$109
30¢
$29.1K
25¢
$6.7K
20¢
$1.9K
15¢
$2.2K
10¢
$2.8K
5¢
$7
0¢
← now
$9.9K

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAnn Li$14.5K@ 58.0¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAnn Li$13.2K@ 63.0¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAshlyn Krueger$46.8K@ 35.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAshlyn Krueger$38.9K@ 25.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAnn Li$14.0K@ 74.64¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAnn Li$14.1K@ 75.0¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAnn Li$28.8K@ 62.0¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYAnn Li$10.3K@ 61.0¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

WoaifacaiAnn Li$55.8K
BUY VWAP 66.82¢·4 fills
KkunnAnn Li$48.3K
BUY VWAP 52.49¢·3 fills
0x2c33…0563Ashlyn Krueger$46.8K
BUY VWAP 35.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Ashlyn Krueger$38.9K
BUY VWAP 25.0¢·1 fill
SeventyPercentPlusAnn Li$17.4K
BUY VWAP 57.11¢·3 fills
0x076d…8d4cAshlyn Krueger$14.8K
BUY VWAP 47.84¢·4 fills
FlaznorpAshlyn Krueger$11.5K
BUY VWAP 37.79¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.