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Cali: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate

● quote 839 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $149.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $248.8KEvent: Cali: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Carlos Maria Zarate

Indicative prices · 839 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Felipe Meligeni Alves
14.0¢
Carlos Maria Zarate
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets58Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 56%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:87 trades$60.7K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 24%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 875 min agoofficial metadata 843 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Felipe Meligeni Alves · $5.5K net·9 wallets·$9.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCarlos Maria Zarate$14.3K@ 27¢·robustmst

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$60.7K

9 verified profitable wallets: Felipe Meligeni Alves · $5.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 56% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 839 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 875 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 843 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-30 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Felipe Meligeni Alves and Carlos Maria Zarate in the Cali, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Felipe Meligeni Alves' if Felipe Meligeni Alves advances against Carlos Maria Zarate. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Maria Zarate' if Carlos Maria Zarate advances against Felipe Meligeni Alves. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASESELL Carlos Maria Zarate15h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWSELL Carlos Maria Zarate@ 31.2¢15h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Carlos Maria Zarate15h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Carlos Maria Zarate@ 46.0¢15h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Carlos Maria Zarate DOWN 13.4pp · near-book depth $284 → $0 · 9s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Felipe Meligeni Alves; negative values favor Carlos Maria Zarate. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFelipe Meligeni Alves · $0
6hFelipe Meligeni Alves · $0
24hFelipe Meligeni Alves · $23.2K

Felipe Meligeni Alves price VWAP

Volume-weighted Felipe Meligeni Alves price. Carlos Maria Zarate fills are converted to the complementary Felipe Meligeni Alves probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h74.22¢▲ above by 25.7pp
VWAP 7d74.22¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Felipe Meligeni Alves price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$10.5K
85¢
$238
80¢
$1.2K
75¢
$7.0K
70¢
$22.4K
65¢
$10.7K
60¢
$6.7K
55¢
$1.9K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCarlos Maria Zarate$14.3K@ 26.8¢
robustmst0xebfd…fd63
🐋—about 16 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

robustmstCarlos Maria Zarate$16.5K
BUY VWAP 27.08¢·2 fills
UpTheBluesFelipe Meligeni Alves$12.2K
BUY VWAP 83.54¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.