PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Spread: Bears (-14.5)

Sports→American FootballSettlement: BuccaneersLiquidity: $137.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $120.7KEvent: Buccaneers vs. Bears
0.0¢
Bears payout
100.0¢
Buccaneers payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Buccaneers · $23.2K net·5 wallets(2🐋)·$23.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBuccaneers$19.0K@ 76¢·quavoo

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Buccaneers. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-09 01:20 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Bears" if the Bears win the game by 15 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Buccaneers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Buccaneers and Bears, scheduled for November 8 at 8:20 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bears" if the Bears win the game by 15 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Buccaneers". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 6d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 6d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
primm16 linked markets · $175.9K gross
surfandturf2 linked markets · $144.9K gross
ethanaz3 linked markets · $143.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Buccaneers@ 76.0¢6d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -26.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Bears; negative values favor Buccaneers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBears · $100
6hBuccaneers · $19.9K
24hBuccaneers · $19.9K

Bears price VWAP

Volume-weighted Bears price. Buccaneers fills are converted to the complementary Bears probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h37.86¢▼ below by 37.9pp
VWAP 7d33.73¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBuccaneers$10.5K@ 56.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—6 days ago
BUYBuccaneers$19.0K@ 76.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—6 days ago
BUYBuccaneers$10.0K@ 78.0¢
HomeRunHazard0x5268…135d
🐋—7 days ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner
99.95¢$8.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
93.8¢$7.6Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner
81.5¢$4.4Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner
99.95¢$4.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 4.5
16.5¢$1.3Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Nets vs. Grizzlies
37.5¢$878.6Kpriority58Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)
0.05¢$846.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
74.5¢$815.3Kpriority70Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.