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Nets vs. Grizzlies

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $210.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $873.1KEvent: Nets vs. Grizzlies

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

37.5¢
Nets
62.5¢
Grizzlies
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection33Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets15Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 86%💡 8 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:156 trades$389.9K tracked7% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nets · $5.5K net·8 wallets·$35.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNets$45.7K@ 42¢·Moneyloverman

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Grizzlies SETUP
What the tape says

Grizzlies pressure: $128.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$128.9K
6h
−$68.7K
tracked
$389.9K

8 verified profitable wallets: Nets · $5.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 86% · priority 56

Since latest large flow: +1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Grizzlies or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-15 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Nets win, the market will resolve to "Nets".

•If the Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Grizzlies".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Nets and Grizzlies, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Nets win, the market will resolve to "Nets". If the Grizzlies win, the market will resolve to "Grizzlies". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ropetard4 linked markets · $261.0K gross
Moneyloverman3 linked markets · $182.1K gross
quavoo8 linked markets · $178.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Grizzlies@ 62.0¢35m ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Grizzlies@ 61.0¢38m ago
15m STALLED +1.0pp
LARGE FLOWSELL Nets@ 44.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWSELL Nets@ 45.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nets; negative values favor Grizzlies. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGrizzlies · $128.9K
6hGrizzlies · $68.7K
24hGrizzlies · $23.8K

Nets price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nets price. Grizzlies fills are converted to the complementary Nets probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current37.5¢
VWAP 24h42.23¢▼ below by 4.7pp
VWAP 7d42.22¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nets price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$80.1K
40¢
$272.1K
35¢
← now
$39.0K
30¢
$14
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNets$10.6K@ 38.0¢
SharkbetX-com0x2759…2b38
🐋—31 minutes ago
BUYGrizzlies$12.5K@ 60.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—39 minutes ago
BUYGrizzlies$15.0K@ 60.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—39 minutes ago
BUYGrizzlies$15.0K@ 60.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—39 minutes ago
BUYGrizzlies$19.0K@ 57.0¢
Moneyloverman0x906f…88b4
🐋—41 minutes ago
BUYGrizzlies$38.4K@ 56.07¢
Moneyloverman0x906f…88b4
🐋—41 minutes ago
SELLNets$21.0K@ 45.0¢
Moneyloverman0x906f…88b4
🐋—about 3 hours ago
SELLNets$14.2K@ 46.0¢
Moneyloverman0x906f…88b4
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYNets$10.6K@ 45.0¢
Moneyloverman0x906f…88b4
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYNets$12.6K@ 44.26¢
Moneyloverman0x906f…88b4
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYNets$45.7K@ 42.0¢
Moneyloverman0x906f…88b4
🐋—about 4 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)
56.5¢$529.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
58.5¢$211.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)
51.5¢$193.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)
46.5¢$135.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)
43.5¢$66.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5
43.5¢$51.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5
45.5¢$36.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Nets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5
49.5¢$13.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

MoneylovermanNets$77.2K
BUY VWAP 42.86¢·4 fills
quavooGrizzlies$69.6K
BUY VWAP 60.07¢·22 fills
MoneylovermanGrizzlies$66.5K
BUY VWAP 56.32¢·3 fills
quavooNets$27.4K
BUY VWAP 41.94¢·15 fills
SharkbetX-comNets$16.8K
BUY VWAP 38.69¢·4 fills
HomeRunHazardGrizzlies$15.0K
BUY VWAP 58.74¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.