Mavericks vs. Cavaliers

● quote just now

Sports→BasketballCloses: 38 minutesLiquidity: $484.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $795.3KEvent: Mavericks vs. Cavaliers

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

74.5¢

Mavericks

25.5¢

Cavaliers

1.0¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection4Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets95Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:149 trades$379.3K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 12 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Mavericks · $40.0K net·6 wallets(1🐋)·$42.4K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMavericks$67.8K@ 62¢·monkeymashingkeyboard

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE

What the tape says

Cavaliers pressure: $13.6K net directional flow in 1h.

−$13.6K

+$245.5K

tracked

$379.3K

6 verified profitable wallets: Mavericks · $40.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 77% · priority 0

Since latest whale follow through: +12.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Observed tape is 12 minutes old.
•Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
•Executable BUY price moved 12.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Cavaliers or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-11-15 00:30 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/

Outcome meaning

•If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks".

•If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Mavericks and Cavaliers, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the Cavaliers win, the market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

ropetard6 linked markets · $78.0K gross

Wal13 linked markets · $77.5K gross

monkeymashingkeyboard3 linked markets · $71.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Mavericks@ 63.0¢5h ago

15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

LARGE FLOWBUY Mavericks@ 63.0¢5h ago

15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

LARGE FLOWBUY Mavericks@ 62.0¢6h ago

15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp

LARGE FLOWBUY Mavericks@ 62.0¢6h ago

15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Mavericks; negative values favor Cavaliers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hCavaliers · $13.6K

6hMavericks · $245.5K

24hMavericks · $298.1K

Mavericks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Mavericks price. Cavaliers fills are converted to the complementary Mavericks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current74.5¢

VWAP 24h62.14¢▲ above by 12.4pp

VWAP 7d62.14¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Mavericks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

85¢

80¢

75¢

$28.0K

70¢

← now

$48.5K