PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Spread: Mavericks (-2.5)

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: 38 minutesLiquidity: $30.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $168.2KEvent: Mavericks vs. Cavaliers

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

67.5¢
Mavericks
32.5¢
Cavaliers
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly21Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets89Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution80Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 63%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:24 trades$85.8K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 51%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 48 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Mavericks · $56.5K net·5 wallets(2🐋)·$63.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMavericks$29.5K@ 53¢·keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$542
6h
+$74.6K
tracked
$85.8K

5 verified profitable wallets: Mavericks · $56.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 63% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +12.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 48 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 12.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-15 00:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Mavericks" if the Mavericks win the game by 3 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cavaliers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Mavericks and Cavaliers, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Mavericks" if the Mavericks win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cavaliers". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ropetard6 linked markets · $78.0K gross
Wal13 linked markets · $77.5K gross
monkeymashingkeyboard3 linked markets · $71.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Mavericks@ 56.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Mavericks@ 56.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Mavericks; negative values favor Cavaliers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMavericks · $542
6hMavericks · $74.6K
24hMavericks · $74.5K

Mavericks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Mavericks price. Cavaliers fills are converted to the complementary Mavericks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current67.5¢
VWAP 24h55.83¢▲ above by 11.7pp
VWAP 7d55.83¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Mavericks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
← now
$8.3K
60¢
$8.8K
55¢
$17.3K
50¢
$51.4K
45¢
$0
40¢
$39
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMavericks$29.5K@ 53.15¢
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh0x0d6a…aa98
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYMavericks$18.3K@ 51.56¢
ropetard0x2c86…d939
🐋—about 6 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Mavericks vs. Cavaliers
75.5¢$795.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)
62.5¢$87.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Mavericks (-1.5)
71.5¢$58.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)
21.5¢$47.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)
20.0¢$41.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Mavericks (-6.5)
56.5¢$37.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)
64.5¢$32.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Mavericks (-5.5)
58.5¢$30.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

keeptheblueflagflyinghighMavericks$29.5K
BUY VWAP 53.15¢·1 fill
ropetardMavericks$25.7K
BUY VWAP 54.56¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.