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Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)

● quote 39s ago
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: 4 daysLiquidity: $458.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $154.2KEvent: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

Indicative prices · 39s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

43.5¢
Gen.G
56.5¢
Bilibili Gaming
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:14 trades$65.1K tracked14% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 156 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Gen.G · $11.0K net·2 wallets(1🐋)·$11.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGen.G$42.1K@ 42¢·Lakersfan111

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$8.6K
tracked
$65.1K

2 verified profitable wallets: Gen.G · $11.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 156 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-15 01:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G wins 2 or more games than Bilibili Gaming in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Grand Final match between Bilibili Gaming and Gen.G in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G wins 2 or more games than Bilibili Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining games required to decide the match, including a game in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Gen.G@ 43.0¢16h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Gen.G; negative values favor Bilibili Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGen.G · $0
6hGen.G · $8.6K
24hGen.G · $58.2K

Gen.G price VWAP

Volume-weighted Gen.G price. Bilibili Gaming fills are converted to the complementary Gen.G probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current43.5¢
VWAP 24h42.25¢▲ above by 1.3pp
VWAP 7d42.22¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Gen.G price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
← now
$66.5K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYGen.G$42.1K@ 42.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—about 17 hours ago
BUYGen.G$10.2K@ 43.0¢
StarryPath0x55b4…80ea
🐋—about 17 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Lakersfan111Gen.G$42.1K
BUY VWAP 42.0¢·1 fill
StarryPathGen.G$10.2K
BUY VWAP 43.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.