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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $149.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $2.8MEvent: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

81.5¢
Bilibili Gaming
18.5¢
Gen.G
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection18Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets34Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 90%💡 41 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:813 trades$1.7M tracked4% 🐋source coverage 61%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Bilibili Gaming · $183.8K net·41 wallets(8🐋)·$542.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBilibili Gaming$91.9K@ 48¢·0x2c33…0563

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Bilibili Gaming SETUP
What the tape says

Bilibili Gaming pressure: $299.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$299.1K
6h
+$348.7K
tracked
$1.7M

41 verified profitable wallets: Bilibili Gaming · $183.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 90% · priority 56

Since latest market sweep: -12.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Bilibili Gaming or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-15 01:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 4 against Gen.G.

•This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win Game 4 against Bilibili Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Grand Final match between Bilibili Gaming and Gen.G in the Worlds Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 4 against Gen.G. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win Game 4 against Bilibili Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 28, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 4h ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 4h ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 5h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl4 linked markets · $1.5M gross
fantasy77886 linked markets · $849.3K gross
0x2c33…05636 linked markets · $784.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Bilibili Gaming@ 94.0¢2m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Bilibili Gaming5m ago
Outcome checks pending
WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY Bilibili Gaming@ 58.0¢11m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Bilibili Gaming11m ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Bilibili Gaming UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $14.3K → $8.1K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Bilibili Gaming; negative values favor Gen.G. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBilibili Gaming · $299.1K
6hBilibili Gaming · $348.7K
24hBilibili Gaming · $344.2K

Bilibili Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted Bilibili Gaming price. Gen.G fills are converted to the complementary Bilibili Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current81.5¢
VWAP 24h51.11¢▲ above by 30.4pp
VWAP 7d51.11¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Bilibili Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$119.6K
90¢
$42.0K
85¢
$42.6K
80¢
← now
$1.1K
75¢
$2.1K
70¢
$0
65¢
$7.4K
60¢
$62.0K
55¢
$170.0K
50¢
$66.0K
45¢
$692.8K
40¢
$197.3K
35¢
$84.0K
30¢
$85.8K
25¢
$32.4K
20¢
$49.0K
15¢
$36.8K
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBilibili Gaming$19.0K@ 95.0¢
bloodmaster0x58f8…dc70
🐋—3 minutes ago
SELLBilibili Gaming$10.8K@ 95.0¢
chichilol0xf796…b208
🐋—3 minutes ago
SELLBilibili Gaming$13.5K@ 95.0¢0x823d…f85b🐋—4 minutes ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$14.5K@ 97.69¢
45hfgh56uj5j7o0x5498…126f
🐋—5 minutes ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$10.6K@ 88.74¢
BarracudaSKE0xfa02…8b07
🐋—6 minutes ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$10.0K@ 87.23¢
shibaijiaoyiyuan0xfac1…ba11
🐋—7 minutes ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$10.3K@ 64.75¢
0xredpanda0x9b7b…a88d
🐋—9 minutes ago
SELLBilibili Gaming$39.8K@ 57.0¢
dromedaryy0x6575…b198
🐋—12 minutes ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$11.7K@ 52.48¢
solo888880xab44…7ffe
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$14.2K@ 51.13¢
solo888880xab44…7ffe
🐋—14 minutes ago
BUYGen.G$14.5K@ 79.95¢0x246b…fb5b🐋—20 minutes ago
BUYGen.G$16.9K@ 83.3¢
Maskray350x4da5…3baf
🐋—21 minutes ago
BUYGen.G$11.1K@ 69.41¢
frohp50xc397…bb3b
🐋—22 minutes ago
BUYGen.G$12.2K@ 66.88¢
Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl0x549b…c0ae
🐋—23 minutes ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$17.2K@ 41.0¢
zb80x0224…292a
🐋—30 minutes ago
BUYGen.G$12.9K@ 52.0¢
Thunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl0x549b…c0ae
🐋—31 minutes ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$18.5K@ 48.0¢
zb80x0224…292a
🐋—31 minutes ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$20.0K@ 48.0¢
heyjason0x083f…4869
🐋—31 minutes ago
SELLGen.G$49.6K@ 52.0¢
stop1234444440x3f97…4059
🐋—31 minutes ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$91.9K@ 48.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—32 minutes ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$10.0K@ 48.0¢
lasercat3977770xaa1b…1ff6
🐋—32 minutes ago
BUYGen.G$46.1K@ 53.0¢
olegio0x12ec…41ae
🐋—32 minutes ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$15.0K@ 48.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—32 minutes ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$19.2K@ 48.0¢
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN0xdaef…54e9
🐋—33 minutes ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$30.0K@ 48.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—34 minutes ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$10.0K@ 47.0¢
Donghui0x5877…d894
🐋—38 minutes ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$17.9K@ 47.0¢
yishiwucheng0x3308…f04b
🐋—43 minutes ago
SELLGen.G$23.9K@ 53.0¢
sbimbg0xf519…906b
🐋—43 minutes ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$26.7K@ 46.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBilibili Gaming$42.0K@ 44.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner
99.95¢$8.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
71.5¢$7.0Mpriority49Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner
99.95¢$4.2Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 4.5
50.5¢$1.3Mpriority61Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)
0.05¢$844.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 3.5
99.95¢$577.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?
99.95¢$338.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+2.5)
0.05¢$161.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x2c33…0563Bilibili Gaming$161.8K
BUY VWAP 46.39¢·4 fills
zb8Bilibili Gaming$55.1K
BUY VWAP 45.40¢·4 fills
olegioGen.G$46.1K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill
BrotherObamaBilibili Gaming$45.0K
BUY VWAP 48.0¢·2 fills
solo88888Bilibili Gaming$39.0K
BUY VWAP 50.31¢·4 fills
Thunderous-Authoritarian-SnarlGen.G$35.8K
BUY VWAP 58.84¢·6 fills
Username2133Bilibili Gaming$27.5K
BUY VWAP 64.32¢·11 fills
0xb4f9…c9a7Gen.G$23.2K
BUY VWAP 53.54¢·6 fills
yong32Gen.G$22.8K
BUY VWAP 65.63¢·9 fills
esportGGGen.G$20.6K
BUY VWAP 51.50¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.