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Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Gabriele Pennaforti

Sports→TennisSettlement: Matthew William DonaldLiquidity: $145.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $269.2KEvent: Florence: Matthew William Donald vs Gabriele Pennaforti
100.0¢
Matthew William Donald payout
0.0¢
Gabriele Pennaforti payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:8 trades$10.6K tracked13% 🐋source coverage 4%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 437 min agoofficial metadata 32 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Matthew William Donald · $252 net·2 wallets·$252 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGabriele Pennaforti$10.2K@ 4¢·crazyoddslover

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Matthew William Donald. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-25 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Matthew William Donald and Gabriele Pennaforti in the Florence, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matthew William Donald' if Matthew William Donald advances against Gabriele Pennaforti. This market will resolve to 'Gabriele Pennaforti' if Gabriele Pennaforti advances against Matthew William Donald. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Matthew William Donald; negative values favor Gabriele Pennaforti. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMatthew William Donald · $0
6hMatthew William Donald · $0
24hGabriele Pennaforti · $9.9K

Matthew William Donald price VWAP

Volume-weighted Matthew William Donald price. Gabriele Pennaforti fills are converted to the complementary Matthew William Donald probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h95.5¢▲ above by 4.5pp
VWAP 7d95.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Matthew William Donald price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$10.2K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$367
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYGabriele Pennaforti$10.2K@ 4.0¢
crazyoddslover0x49f2…506a
🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

crazyoddsloverGabriele Pennaforti$10.2K
BUY VWAP 4.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.