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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5

Sports→BaseballCloses: 43 minutesLiquidity: $11.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $370.9KEvent: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians
56.5¢
Over
43.5¢
Under
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:78 trades$153.1K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Under · $14.9K net·6 wallets(1🐋)·$28.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOver$37.0K@ 49¢·BrotherObama

Decision read paused

Market status is DISPUTED. No executable setup is shown until trading is open again.

DISPUTED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
DISPUTED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-18 21:08 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if the Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians combine to score 7 or more runs in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 7, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

This event refers to Game 5 of the ALCS originally scheduled for 8:00 PM ET on October 17, 2026. This game has been rescheduled to October 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Please refer to mlb.com for the latest start time information. In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for October 18 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians combine to score 7 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 7, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 1d ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 1d ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 2d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo3 linked markets · $48.0K gross
urhfrhchj1231233 linked markets · $46.6K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $31.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET STATE2d ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Under DOWN 4.5pp · near-book depth $823 → $13 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market disputed · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.disputed

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOver · $78.2K
6hOver · $60.1K
24hOver · $55.1K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current56.5¢
VWAP 24h47.6¢▲ above by 8.9pp
VWAP 7d47.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$660
60¢
$4
55¢
← now
$2.2K
50¢
$127
45¢
$134.9K
40¢
$54
35¢
$8.0K
30¢
$7.2K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYOver$19.0K@ 49.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYOver$37.0K@ 49.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYOver$24.0K@ 49.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYUnder$18.2K@ 52.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BrotherObamaOver$80.0K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·3 fills
ferrariChampions2026Under$18.2K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.