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Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs

● quote 11s ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: 11 minutesLiquidity: $1.3MOfficial 24h Vol: $2.6MEvent: Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs
100.0¢
FURIA
0.1¢
BetBoom Team
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets50Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 43 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:773 trades$924.1K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:FURIA · $103.7K net·43 wallets(2🐋)·$205.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFURIA$82.7K@ 74¢·Satanishippie

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

BetBoom Team pressure: $1.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.2K
6h
+$145.2K
tracked
$924.1K

43 verified profitable wallets: FURIA · $103.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest whale follow through: +23.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 23.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from BetBoom Team or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-18 22:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against BetBoom Team.

•This market will resolve to "BetBoom Team" if BetBoom Team win the match against FURIA.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand Final match between FURIA and BetBoom Team in the Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA" if FURIA win the match against BetBoom Team. This market will resolve to "BetBoom Team" if BetBoom Team win the match against FURIA. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 18, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 8h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Satanishippie2 linked markets · $112.7K gross
redvinny5 linked markets · $63.9K gross
cruzNBA5 linked markets · $58.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

WHALE FOLLOW THROUGHBUY FURIA@ 77.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED +2.0pp1h CONFIRMED +10.0pp
ACCUMULATIONBUY FURIA@ 74.0¢6h ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h CONFIRMED +11.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY FURIA@ 74.0¢6h ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h CONFIRMED +11.0pp
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY FURIA@ 74.0¢6h ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h CONFIRMED +10.0pp
Latest book event: FURIA UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $3.4K → $232 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor FURIA; negative values favor BetBoom Team. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBetBoom Team · $1.2K
6hFURIA · $145.2K
24hFURIA · $296.3K

FURIA price VWAP

Volume-weighted FURIA price. BetBoom Team fills are converted to the complementary FURIA probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h68.4¢▲ above by 31.6pp
VWAP 7d68.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

FURIA price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$62.9K
90¢
$20.0K
85¢
$12.1K
80¢
$37.8K
75¢
$51.0K
70¢
$361.0K
65¢
$88.9K
60¢
$91.8K
55¢
$49.3K
50¢
$6.6K
45¢
$25.3K
40¢
$27.8K
35¢
$77.0K
30¢
$2.1K
25¢
$3.8K
20¢
$6.3K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLFURIA$11.1K@ 99.9¢
12monkeys0xaebf…e1ca
🐋—17 minutes ago
BUYFURIA$10.0K@ 60.0¢
ostigard0x53fd…177e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBetBoom Team$20.0K@ 40.3¢0xf559…f462🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFURIA$10.7K@ 38.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 3 hours ago
SELLBetBoom Team$34.8K@ 62.6¢
cs2.quant0xe0a4…a81e
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYBetBoom Team$10.0K@ 57.9¢
kovalon0xf2ca…b467
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYFURIA$13.2K@ 69.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYFURIA$18.4K@ 69.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYFURIA$19.0K@ 74.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYFURIA$22.8K@ 74.0¢
sssasp0x997c…51f3
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYFURIA$24.6K@ 74.0¢
juice-fruit0x5fdd…a747
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYBetBoom Team$11.3K@ 26.0¢
Eztennis0x4be1…aa70
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYFURIA$25.8K@ 75.0¢
juice-fruit0x5fdd…a747
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYFURIA$82.7K@ 74.0¢
Satanishippie0x89eb…cff9
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYFURIA$15.3K@ 73.0¢
CORGI80x79ae…9a4a
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYBetBoom Team$18.9K@ 28.0¢
qiu30x7f73…14f1
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYFURIA$13.4K@ 74.0¢
fkgggg2mouzfuria0x52ec…a6f3
🐋—about 7 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

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Map 5 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
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Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)
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Map 5 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs BetBoom Team (+3.5)
0.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

SatanishippieFURIA$82.7K
BUY VWAP 74.0¢·1 fill
juice-fruitFURIA$54.8K
BUY VWAP 74.4¢·3 fills
0x1610…ae49FURIA$47.8K
BUY VWAP 56.2¢·7 fills
0x29b5…cc6cFURIA$32.1K
BUY VWAP 72.6¢·15 fills
sssaspFURIA$22.8K
BUY VWAP 74.0¢·1 fill
vtcchampion52FURIA$22.0K
BUY VWAP 68.1¢·11 fills
0xf559…f462BetBoom Team$20.0K
BUY VWAP 40.3¢·1 fill
qiu3BetBoom Team$19.9K
BUY VWAP 27.9¢·2 fills
0x2c33…0563FURIA$19.0K
BUY VWAP 74.0¢·1 fill
0x1610…ae49BetBoom Team$17.3K
BUY VWAP 22.5¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.