PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

● quote just now
Sports→BaseballCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $53.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $657.5KEvent: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians
76.5¢
Tampa Bay Rays
23.5¢
Cleveland Guardians
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets35Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution85Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:168 trades$252.5K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 8 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Tampa Bay Rays · $22.0K net·11 wallets·$69.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYCleveland Guardians$17.6K@ 46¢·Zzzz87

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$88
6h
−$34.7K
tracked
$252.5K

11 verified profitable wallets: Tampa Bay Rays · $22.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-25 21:08 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game.

Read full resolution rules

This event refers to Game 5 of the ALCS originally scheduled for 8:00 PM ET on October 17, 2026. This game has been rescheduled to October 18, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Please refer to mlb.com for the latest start time information. In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Guardians, scheduled for October 18 at 5:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Cleveland Guardians" if the Cleveland Guardians win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 1d ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 1d ago
RULES CHANGED · 2d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo3 linked markets · $48.0K gross
urhfrhchj1231233 linked markets · $46.6K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $31.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Cleveland Guardians@ 45.0¢20h ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h INVALIDATED -3.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp
MARKET STATE2d ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Tampa Bay Rays UP 7.0pp · near-book depth $94 → $8 · 59s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tampa Bay Rays; negative values favor Cleveland Guardians. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCleveland Guardians · $88
6hCleveland Guardians · $34.7K
24hCleveland Guardians · $58.8K

Tampa Bay Rays price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tampa Bay Rays price. Cleveland Guardians fills are converted to the complementary Tampa Bay Rays probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current76.5¢
VWAP 24h55.8¢▲ above by 20.7pp
VWAP 7d55.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Tampa Bay Rays price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
← now
$3.2K
70¢
$9.6K
65¢
$22.7K
60¢
$9.0K
55¢
$71.3K
50¢
$119.7K
45¢
$317
40¢
$26.7K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCleveland Guardians$14.4K@ 46.4¢
Zzzz870x2117…5c26
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYCleveland Guardians$17.6K@ 46.0¢
Zzzz870x2117…5c26
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYCleveland Guardians$12.9K@ 46.0¢
Krown0xa7e8…5c8c
🐋—about 7 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 6.5
58.5¢$370.9Kpriority66Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
62.0¢$79.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians
100.0¢$11.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs
100.0¢$2.6Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$423.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
0.3¢$417.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)
0.1¢$416.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka
100.0¢$397.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Zzzz87Cleveland Guardians$40.3K
BUY VWAP 46.1¢·5 fills
urhfrhchj123123Cleveland Guardians$27.1K
BUY VWAP 37.3¢·8 fills
quavooTampa Bay Rays$14.8K
BUY VWAP 41.0¢·5 fills
KrownCleveland Guardians$12.9K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·1 fill
Zzzz87Tampa Bay Rays$11.3K
BUY VWAP 56.6¢·10 fills
0x20d6…3856Cleveland Guardians$10.3K
BUY VWAP 41.7¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.