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England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka

● quote 20 min ago
Sports→Closes: 6 daysLiquidity: $29.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $397.1KEvent: England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka
100.0¢
Pakistan
0.1¢
Sri Lanka
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets20Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution86Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 61%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:102 trades$168.4K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 181 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Pakistan · $396 net·6 wallets·$2.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPakistan$29.7K@ 100¢·Kishorwho

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$103.8K
tracked
$168.4K

6 verified profitable wallets: Pakistan · $396 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 61% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 20 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 181 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-25 04:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.espncricinfo.com/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the cricket match between Pakistan and Sri Lanka scheduled for October 18 2026 at 12:30 AM ET in England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution. If the match ends tied and no on-field tiebreak is used or available under the playing conditions (e.g., group-stage ODI with no Super Over), the market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed/rescheduled, the market remains open until the listed fixture is completed. If the match is permanently canceled or abandoned or otherwise is completed without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Pakistan UP 7.5pp · near-book depth $527 → $12 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Pakistan; negative values favor Sri Lanka. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPakistan · $0
6hPakistan · $103.8K
24hPakistan · $93.8K

Pakistan price VWAP

Volume-weighted Pakistan price. Sri Lanka fills are converted to the complementary Pakistan probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h87.1¢▲ above by 12.9pp
VWAP 7d87.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Pakistan price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$116.4K
90¢
$3.1K
85¢
$273
80¢
$360
75¢
$3.0K
70¢
$11.0K
65¢
$9.1K
60¢
$1.7K
55¢
$0
50¢
$7.2K
45¢
$10.1K
40¢
$0
35¢
$3.4K
30¢
$2.8K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPakistan$29.7K@ 99.9¢
Kishorwho0xa69b…7b0c
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYPakistan$11.0K@ 99.9¢
dpk-5010x519b…624e
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYPakistan$12.9K@ 99.9¢
Kishorwho0xa69b…7b0c
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYPakistan$12.7K@ 97.5¢
Hashbrown0xa52b…9480
🐋—about 6 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HashbrownPakistan$55.3K
BUY VWAP 93.7¢·6 fills
KishorwhoPakistan$42.5K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·2 fills
dpk-501Pakistan$20.7K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.