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Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs MVK Esports (+2.5)

Sports→Esports · League of LegendsSettlement: Karmine CorpLiquidity: $141.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $258.6KEvent: LoL: Karmine Corp vs MVK Esports (BO5) - Worlds Play-In
100.0¢
Karmine Corp payout
0.0¢
MVK Esports payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:88 trades$109.8K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 59 min agoofficial metadata 25 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:MVK Esports · $1.3K net·7 wallets·$6.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMVK Esports$22.0K@ 55¢·BrotherObama

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Karmine Corp. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-19 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp wins 3 or more games than MVK Esports in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MVK Esports".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Grand Final match between Karmine Corp and MVK Esports in the Worlds Play-In, initially scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp wins 3 or more games than MVK Esports in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MVK Esports". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 18, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The match is considered to have begun once live play begins in its first map or game. Warmup rounds and knife rounds do not count as the start of the match. A round forced live because a team did not ready up or resume play within the allotted time does not count as the start of the match if that team forfeits before the next round begins. If the match begins and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, the match will count as completed. In that case, any remaining games required to decide the match, including a game in progress or not yet started, will be counted as won by the winning team. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 26m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 26m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Mooseborzoiii3 linked markets · $280.8K gross
hurrican3 linked markets · $112.1K gross
Sisyphus.3 linked markets · $101.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY MVK Esports@ 56.0¢4h ago
15m INVALIDATED -4.0pp1h INVALIDATED -19.0pp
Latest book event: MVK Esports DOWN 5.5pp · near-book depth $27 → $10 · 79s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Karmine Corp; negative values favor MVK Esports. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMVK Esports · $15.0K
6hMVK Esports · $22.7K
24hMVK Esports · $26.6K

Karmine Corp price VWAP

Volume-weighted Karmine Corp price. MVK Esports fills are converted to the complementary Karmine Corp probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h59.2¢▲ above by 40.8pp
VWAP 7d59.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Karmine Corp price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$25.4K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$97
75¢
$1.7K
70¢
$0
65¢
$1.5K
60¢
$3.7K
55¢
$0
50¢
$2
45¢
$67.6K
40¢
$9.9K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLKarmine Corp$10.6K@ 99.9¢
randomrandomrandom0x9bad…861f
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMVK Esports$22.0K@ 55.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BrotherObamaMVK Esports$22.0K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.