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Bears vs. Seahawks

Sports→American FootballSettlement: BearsLiquidity: $536.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $4.0MEvent: Bears vs. Seahawks
100.0¢
Bears payout
0.0¢
Seahawks payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:6 trades$4.6K trackedsource coverage 7%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 1341 min agoofficial metadata 953 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Seahawks · $162.3K net·7 wallets(3🐋)·$182.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBears$87.4K@ 38¢·surfandturf

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Bears. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-03 01:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Bears" if Bears win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Seahawks" if Seahawks win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Bears and Seahawks, scheduled for November 2 at 8:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bears" if Bears win the game. This market will resolve to "Seahawks" if Seahawks win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 16h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 16h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Kch-Temp2 linked markets · $136.8K gross
surfandturf2 linked markets · $101.0K gross
0xbc43…96d33 linked markets · $24.9K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

POSITION CHANGEBUY Seahawks@ 62.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Seahawks@ 63.0¢1d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED -2.0pp24h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Bears UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $3.5K → $2.5K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Bears; negative values favor Seahawks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBears · $0
6hBears · $0
24hSeahawks · $89.3K

Bears price VWAP

Volume-weighted Bears price. Seahawks fills are converted to the complementary Bears probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h37.86¢▲ above by 62.1pp
VWAP 7d37.86¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Bears price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$298.2K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBears$87.4K@ 38.0¢
surfandturf0x9f2f…2ca8
🐋—1 day ago
BUYSeahawks$25.2K@ 63.0¢
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN0xdaef…54e9
🐋—1 day ago
BUYSeahawks$47.7K@ 62.0¢
Kch-Temp0x9243…658e
🐋—1 day ago
BUYSeahawks$82.1K@ 62.0¢
Kch-Temp0x9243…658e
🐋—1 day ago
BUYSeahawks$16.4K@ 63.0¢
StarryPath0x55b4…80ea
🐋—1 day ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Kch-TempSeahawks$129.8K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·2 fills
surfandturfBears$87.4K
BUY VWAP 38.0¢·1 fill
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FANSeahawks$25.2K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·1 fill
StarryPathSeahawks$16.4K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.