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Map Handicap: LOUD (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)

● quote 66 min ago
Sports→Esports · ValorantCloses: about 1 hourLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $29.4KEvent: Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
21.0¢
LOUD
99.9¢
Team Vitality
0.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 64%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:26 trades$16.3K trackedsource coverage 55%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 146 min agoofficial metadata 72 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Vitality$4.2K@ 99¢·madoka123

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$5.2K
tracked
$16.3K

1 verified profitable wallet: Team Vitality · $2 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 64% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 66 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 146 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 72 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-16 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://vlr.gg
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD wins 2 or more maps than Team Vitality in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Team Vitality".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Valorant Upper Bracket Final match between Team Vitality and LOUD in the VCT Champions Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD wins 2 or more maps than Team Vitality in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Team Vitality". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 16, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
cruzNBA3 linked markets · $19.9K gross
xytest3 linked markets · $14.1K gross
asuka73 linked markets · $13.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: LOUD UP 5.5pp · near-book depth $1.7K → $1.5K · 51s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor LOUD; negative values favor Team Vitality. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLOUD · $0
6hTeam Vitality · $5.2K
24hTeam Vitality · $13.7K

LOUD price VWAP

Volume-weighted LOUD price. Team Vitality fills are converted to the complementary LOUD probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current21.0¢
VWAP 24h18.6¢▲ above by 2.4pp
VWAP 7d18.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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LOUD price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$10
30¢
$4.3K
25¢
$4.8K
20¢
← now
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$2.0K
5¢
$0
0¢
$5.2K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.