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Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs

● quote 21 min ago
Sports→Esports · ValorantCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $922.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $838.2KEvent: Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
0.1¢
Team Vitality
99.9¢
LOUD
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection25Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets3Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 20 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:665 trades$285.8K trackedsource coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 26 min agoofficial metadata 22 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:LOUD · $15.1K net·20 wallets·$44.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLOUD$33.6K@ 100¢·gregbeast

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Team Vitality pressure: $71.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$71.8K
6h
+$68.6K
tracked
$285.8K

20 verified profitable wallets: LOUD · $15.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +44.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 21 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 26 minutes old.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Vitality or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-16 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://vlr.gg
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against LOUD.

•This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win the match against Team Vitality.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Valorant Upper Bracket Final match between Team Vitality and LOUD in the VCT Champions Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Vitality" if Team Vitality win the match against LOUD. This market will resolve to "LOUD" if LOUD win the match against Team Vitality. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 16, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
cruzNBA3 linked markets · $19.9K gross
xytest3 linked markets · $14.1K gross
asuka73 linked markets · $13.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY LOUD@ 56.0¢5h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -8.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY LOUD@ 56.0¢2d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp24h STALLED +0.0pp
Latest book event: LOUD UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $10.8K → $1.5K · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Vitality; negative values favor LOUD. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Vitality · $71.8K
6hTeam Vitality · $68.6K
24hTeam Vitality · $86.4K

Team Vitality price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Vitality price. LOUD fills are converted to the complementary Team Vitality probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h33.3¢▼ below by 33.2pp
VWAP 7d35.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Vitality price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$3.2K
75¢
$3.3K
70¢
$10.3K
65¢
$14.2K
60¢
$5.4K
55¢
$6.6K
50¢
$1.5K
45¢
$53.6K
40¢
$119.9K
35¢
$14.6K
30¢
$2.2K
25¢
$6.7K
20¢
$15.6K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$6.1K
0¢
← now
$77.7K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLOUD$33.6K@ 99.9¢
gregbeast0x4980…5709
🐋—37 minutes ago
BUYTeam Vitality$12.0K@ 47.1¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYLOUD$24.3K@ 56.0¢
mbmbbbmbv0x8861…39f7
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYLOUD$29.2K@ 55.5¢
mbmbbbmbv0x8861…39f7
🐋—1 day ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Map Handicap: LOUD (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)
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Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 26.5
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

mbmbbbmbvLOUD$53.5K
BUY VWAP 55.7¢·2 fills
fantasy7788Team Vitality$12.0K
BUY VWAP 47.1¢·1 fill
0x076d…8d4cLOUD$11.6K
BUY VWAP 54.7¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.