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LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Sports→Settlement: Movistar KOILiquidity: $529.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $935.3KEvent: LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
0.0¢
Karmine Corp payout
100.0¢
Movistar KOI payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Movistar KOI · $36.3K net·13 wallets(2🐋)·$87.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMovistar KOI$40.0K@ 29¢·fantasy7788

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Movistar KOI. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-19 21:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against Movistar KOI.

•This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the match against Karmine Corp.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket final match between Karmine Corp and Movistar KOI in the LEC Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against Movistar KOI. This market will resolve to "Movistar KOI" if Movistar KOI win the match against Karmine Corp. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 3, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 19, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
trgparking2 linked markets · $263.4K gross
fantasy77884 linked markets · $213.6K gross
0x076d…8d4c4 linked markets · $166.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Movistar KOI5d ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Movistar KOI5d ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Movistar KOI@ 46.0¢5d ago
15m INVALIDATED -11.0pp1h CONFIRMED +28.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Movistar KOI@ 46.0¢5d ago
15m INVALIDATED -11.0pp1h CONFIRMED +28.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Karmine Corp; negative values favor Movistar KOI. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKarmine Corp · $166
6hMovistar KOI · $40.1K
24hKarmine Corp · $14.4K

Karmine Corp price VWAP

Volume-weighted Karmine Corp price. Movistar KOI fills are converted to the complementary Karmine Corp probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h64.5¢▼ below by 64.5pp
VWAP 7d64.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Karmine Corp price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$2.6K
75¢
$9.2K
70¢
$163.2K
65¢
$8.5K
60¢
$40.9K
55¢
$11.4K
50¢
$82.0K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$860
30¢
$4.8K
25¢
$5.4K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$166

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMovistar KOI$24.7K@ 46.5¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—5 days ago
BUYMovistar KOI$12.8K@ 45.6¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—5 days ago
BUYKarmine Corp$14.3K@ 61.0¢0xf201…527e🐋—5 days ago
BUYMovistar KOI$40.0K@ 29.4¢
fantasy77880x0259…769e
🐋—5 days ago
BUYMovistar KOI$14.3K@ 27.6¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—5 days ago
BUYKarmine Corp$15.2K@ 74.0¢
lolpredict0x7af0…509d
🐋—5 days ago
BUYKarmine Corp$20.9K@ 73.9¢
StasPanda0x7e5e…7315
🐋—5 days ago
BUYKarmine Corp$26.6K@ 73.0¢
StasPanda0x7e5e…7315
🐋—5 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fantasy7788Movistar KOI$69.3K
BUY VWAP 33.9¢·3 fills
StasPandaKarmine Corp$47.5K
BUY VWAP 73.4¢·2 fills
0x076d…8d4cMovistar KOI$44.4K
BUY VWAP 37.1¢·11 fills
lolpredictKarmine Corp$15.2K
BUY VWAP 74.0¢·1 fill
0xf201…527eKarmine Corp$14.3K
BUY VWAP 61.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.