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San Diego 2: Darwin Blanch vs Andres Andrade

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $1.5MOfficial 24h Vol: $697.4KEvent: San Diego 2: Darwin Blanch vs Andres Andrade
0.1¢
Darwin Blanch
100.0¢
Andres Andrade
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets13Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 16 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:369 trades$287.4K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Darwin Blanch · $14.7K net·16 wallets(2🐋)·$114.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDarwin Blanch$18.2K@ 71¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Darwin Blanch pressure: $16.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$16.6K
6h
+$74.4K
tracked
$287.4K

16 verified profitable wallets: Darwin Blanch · $14.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: -56.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Darwin Blanch or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-01 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Darwin Blanch and Andres Andrade in the San Diego 2, originally scheduled for September 24, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darwin Blanch' if Darwin Blanch advances against Andres Andrade. This market will resolve to 'Andres Andrade' if Andres Andrade advances against Darwin Blanch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Darwin Blanch@ 57.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Darwin Blanch@ 68.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -15.0pp1h INVALIDATED -51.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Darwin Blanch@ 85.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -6.0pp1h INVALIDATED -37.0pp
Latest book event: Darwin Blanch DOWN 7.5pp · near-book depth $500 → $5 · 16s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Darwin Blanch; negative values favor Andres Andrade. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDarwin Blanch · $16.6K
6hDarwin Blanch · $74.4K
24hDarwin Blanch · $74.4K

Darwin Blanch price VWAP

Volume-weighted Darwin Blanch price. Andres Andrade fills are converted to the complementary Darwin Blanch probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h50.5¢▼ below by 50.5pp
VWAP 7d50.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Darwin Blanch price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$424
85¢
$8.0K
80¢
$27.6K
75¢
$4
70¢
$28.2K
65¢
$33.0K
60¢
$31.4K
55¢
$35.3K
50¢
$27.0K
45¢
$19.5K
40¢
$5.9K
35¢
$664
30¢
$47
25¢
$6.8K
20¢
$13
15¢
$24.6K
10¢
$5.9K
5¢
$7.4K
0¢
← now
$25.5K

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAndres Andrade$12.4K@ 82.9¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—18 minutes ago
BUYDarwin Blanch$10.9K@ 83.0¢
HVAB0x8546…35b8
🐋—29 minutes ago
BUYAndres Andrade$10.2K@ 84.0¢
HVAB0x8546…35b8
🐋—42 minutes ago
BUYDarwin Blanch$10.7K@ 66.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYDarwin Blanch$10.0K@ 67.8¢
Runemup0x75f2…ff6d
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYDarwin Blanch$18.2K@ 70.8¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkcvffcjtAndres Andrade$23.6K
BUY VWAP 81.8¢·3 fills
UpTheBluesDarwin Blanch$22.9K
BUY VWAP 76.2¢·25 fills
ferrariChampions2026Darwin Blanch$19.6K
BUY VWAP 48.5¢·7 fills
kkookkooDarwin Blanch$18.2K
BUY VWAP 70.8¢·1 fill
HVABAndres Andrade$16.4K
BUY VWAP 80.4¢·3 fills
0x076d…8d4cAndres Andrade$15.1K
BUY VWAP 44.6¢·9 fills
RunemupDarwin Blanch$13.5K
BUY VWAP 65.7¢·2 fills
0x076d…8d4cDarwin Blanch$12.8K
BUY VWAP 60.4¢·4 fills
RN1Darwin Blanch$12.8K
BUY VWAP 51.4¢·4 fills
Gambler661Andres Andrade$11.1K
BUY VWAP 50.1¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.