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Falcons vs. Packers

● quote 18s ago
Sports→Closes: 1 dayLiquidity: $1.0MOfficial 24h Vol: $206.6KEvent: Falcons vs. Packers
30.5¢
Falcons
69.5¢
Packers
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection33Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:24 trades$67.2K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 33%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 31 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFalcons$22.4K@ 30¢·Diabolical-Prize

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Falcons pressure: $22.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$22.4K
6h
+$24.3K
tracked
$67.2K

1 verified profitable wallet: Falcons · $2.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 31 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Falcons or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-25 00:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•If Falcons wins, the market will resolve to "Falcons".

•If Packers wins, the market will resolve to "Packers".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 24 at 8:15PM ET: If Falcons wins, the market will resolve to "Falcons". If Packers wins, the market will resolve to "Packers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
bands14 linked markets · $32.3K gross
AgriasOaks2 linked markets · $7.4K gross
dv-pm2 linked markets · $6.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Falcons@ 31.0¢31m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Falcons; negative values favor Packers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFalcons · $22.4K
6hFalcons · $24.3K
24hFalcons · $61.0K

Falcons price VWAP

Volume-weighted Falcons price. Packers fills are converted to the complementary Falcons probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current30.5¢
VWAP 24h29.4¢▲ above by 1.1pp
VWAP 7d29.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Falcons price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
← now
$27.3K
25¢
$45.4K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYFalcons$22.4K@ 30.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—37 minutes ago
SELLPackers$18.6K@ 71.0¢
surfandturf0x9f2f…2ca8
🐋—about 17 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Diabolical-PrizeFalcons$22.4K
BUY VWAP 30.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.