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LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner

● quote 13s ago
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $835.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $758.5KEvent: LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
0.1¢
Ninjas in Pyjamas
100.0¢
LGD Gaming
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection11Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets26Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 18 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:237 trades$266.2K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 15 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:LGD Gaming · $13.6K net·18 wallets·$53.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLGD Gaming$22.0K@ 100¢·JaJa888

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Ninjas in Pyjamas pressure: $29.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$29.5K
6h
+$46.3K
tracked
$266.2K

18 verified profitable wallets: LGD Gaming · $13.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -53.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 15 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Ninjas in Pyjamas or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win Game 1 against LGD Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 1 against Ninjas in Pyjamas.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and LGD Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win Game 1 against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 1 against Ninjas in Pyjamas. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 6, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Diabolical-Prize2 linked markets · $66.9K gross
JaJa8882 linked markets · $62.8K gross
0xe907…cff64 linked markets · $56.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Ninjas in Pyjamas@ 54.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -49.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: LGD Gaming DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $18 → $66 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ninjas in Pyjamas; negative values favor LGD Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNinjas in Pyjamas · $29.5K
6hNinjas in Pyjamas · $46.3K
24hNinjas in Pyjamas · $46.3K

Ninjas in Pyjamas price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ninjas in Pyjamas price. LGD Gaming fills are converted to the complementary Ninjas in Pyjamas probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h30.5¢▼ below by 30.4pp
VWAP 7d30.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Ninjas in Pyjamas price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$8.0K
70¢
$4.6K
65¢
$6.1K
60¢
$18.1K
55¢
$51.6K
50¢
$30.9K
45¢
$6.2K
40¢
$0
35¢
$1.4K
30¢
$3
25¢
$8.4K
20¢
$2.8K
15¢
$12.2K
10¢
$9.9K
5¢
$10.4K
0¢
← now
$95.5K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLGD Gaming$22.0K@ 99.9¢
JaJa8880xf2f2…0550
🐋—18 minutes ago
BUYLGD Gaming$15.3K@ 99.0¢
JaJa8880xf2f2…0550
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYNinjas in Pyjamas$12.0K@ 55.0¢
Jer-Predict0xd391…b109
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkgggg2mouzfuriaNinjas in Pyjamas$23.4K
BUY VWAP 54.4¢·4 fills
JaJa888LGD Gaming$15.7K
BUY VWAP 98.1¢·2 fills
Jer-PredictNinjas in Pyjamas$12.0K
BUY VWAP 55.0¢·1 fill
0xf201…527eLGD Gaming$11.8K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·6 fills
zb8LGD Gaming$11.0K
BUY VWAP 41.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.