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LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $917.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.6MEvent: LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
100.0¢
T1
0.1¢
Dplus KIA
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection42Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets20Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 98%💡 27 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:433 trades$864.9K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 92%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 10s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:T1 · $33.3K net·27 wallets(3🐋)·$164.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYT1$114.6K@ 100¢·fkgggg2mouzfuria

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

T1 pressure: $361.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$361.1K
6h
+$366.5K
tracked
$864.9K

27 verified profitable wallets: T1 · $33.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 98% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: -39.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from T1 or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 3 against Dplus KIA.

•This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 3 against T1.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between T1 and Dplus KIA in the LCK Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win Game 3 against Dplus KIA. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win Game 3 against T1. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 3. If Game 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 6, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf201…527e4 linked markets · $248.2K gross
fkgggg2mouzfuria3 linked markets · $194.5K gross
2543217584 linked markets · $185.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY T125m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Dplus KIA37m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Dplus KIA@ 40.0¢40m ago
15m INVALIDATED -22.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY T1@ 62.0¢43m ago
15m CONFIRMED +15.0pp
Latest book event: T1 UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $270 → $1.5K · 2s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor T1; negative values favor Dplus KIA. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hT1 · $361.1K
6hT1 · $366.5K
24hT1 · $366.5K

T1 price VWAP

Volume-weighted T1 price. Dplus KIA fills are converted to the complementary T1 probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h80.6¢▲ above by 19.3pp
VWAP 7d80.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

T1 price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$436.3K
90¢
$29.8K
85¢
$2.9K
80¢
$32.0K
75¢
$35.9K
70¢
$21.8K
65¢
$32.2K
60¢
$38.9K
55¢
$86.3K
50¢
$86.7K
45¢
$10.2K
40¢
$15.8K
35¢
$8.3K
30¢
$4.3K
25¢
$17.7K
20¢
$6.0K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLT1$19.1K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—3 minutes ago
SELLT1$20.0K@ 99.9¢
trgparking0xe361…ae44
🐋—7 minutes ago
SELLT1$20.0K@ 99.9¢
ColinHe0x6842…20d0
🐋—9 minutes ago
SELLT1$11.0K@ 99.9¢
alexdave8880xa4fd…748b
🐋—9 minutes ago
BUYT1$68.9K@ 99.9¢
48binn0xe16e…bd58
🐋—11 minutes ago
BUYT1$114.6K@ 99.9¢
fkgggg2mouzfuria0x52ec…a6f3
🐋—11 minutes ago
BUYT1$79.9K@ 99.9¢
trgparking0xe361…ae44
🐋—11 minutes ago
BUYT1$16.8K@ 94.0¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—20 minutes ago
BUYT1$13.5K@ 82.9¢
Jer-Predict0xd391…b109
🐋—23 minutes ago
BUYT1$15.5K@ 81.7¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—26 minutes ago
BUYT1$13.3K@ 78.5¢
fkcvffcjt0x67ac…edf1
🐋—26 minutes ago
BUYT1$15.2K@ 54.0¢
bloodmaster0x58f8…dc70
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYT1$10.1K@ 53.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
0.1¢$1.8Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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76.5¢$1.5Mpriority46Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

fkgggg2mouzfuriaT1$117.9K
BUY VWAP 92.4¢·2 fills
trgparkingT1$79.9K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
48binnT1$76.0K
BUY VWAP 86.3¢·3 fills
254321758T1$38.4K
BUY VWAP 77.1¢·6 fills
0xf201…527eT1$19.7K
BUY VWAP 96.7¢·6 fills
hurricanT1$15.5K
BUY VWAP 81.7¢·1 fill
bloodmasterT1$15.2K
BUY VWAP 54.0¢·1 fill
sdfqq1T1$14.0K
BUY VWAP 60.7¢·2 fills
Jer-PredictT1$13.5K
BUY VWAP 82.9¢·1 fill
fkcvffcjtT1$13.3K
BUY VWAP 78.5¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.