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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner

● quote 17s ago
Sports→Closes: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $835.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $888.8KEvent: LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
100.0¢
Invictus Gaming
0.1¢
Team WE
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection17Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets56Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 78%💡 17 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:264 trades$467.1K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 53%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 7 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Invictus Gaming · $56.6K net·17 wallets(1🐋)·$101.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYInvictus Gaming$30.7K@ 100¢·trgparking

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Invictus Gaming pressure: $79.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$79.0K
6h
+$80.4K
tracked
$467.1K

17 verified profitable wallets: Invictus Gaming · $56.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 78% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +23.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 23.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Invictus Gaming or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 12:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 4 against Team WE.

•This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win Game 4 against Invictus Gaming.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Invictus Gaming and Team WE in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 4 against Team WE. This market will resolve to "Team WE" if Team WE win Game 4 against Invictus Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 4 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 4. If Game 4 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 6, 2026 at 2:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf201…527e5 linked markets · $185.0K gross
ColinHe4 linked markets · $140.4K gross
Diabolical-Prize2 linked markets · $81.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Invictus Gaming30m ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Invictus Gaming@ 77.0¢33m ago
15m UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Invictus Gaming39m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Invictus Gaming39m ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: Invictus Gaming UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $1 → $323 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Invictus Gaming; negative values favor Team WE. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hInvictus Gaming · $79.0K
6hInvictus Gaming · $80.4K
24hInvictus Gaming · $80.4K

Invictus Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted Invictus Gaming price. Team WE fills are converted to the complementary Invictus Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h79.7¢▲ above by 20.2pp
VWAP 7d79.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Invictus Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$178.4K
90¢
$40.5K
85¢
$11.5K
80¢
$0
75¢
$3.9K
70¢
$5.0K
65¢
$34.9K
60¢
$144.6K
55¢
$48.3K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLInvictus Gaming$16.0K@ 99.9¢
hurrican0x8718…5040
🐋—8 minutes ago
SELLInvictus Gaming$10.2K@ 99.9¢0x138a…2a04🐋—21 minutes ago
SELLInvictus Gaming$15.0K@ 99.9¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋—23 minutes ago
SELLInvictus Gaming$20.0K@ 99.9¢
ColinHe0x6842…20d0
🐋—23 minutes ago
SELLInvictus Gaming$10.3K@ 99.9¢
geiyecapixie0xcae6…4f85
🐋—24 minutes ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$30.7K@ 99.9¢
trgparking0xe361…ae44
🐋—25 minutes ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$11.7K@ 90.0¢0xf201…527e🐋—32 minutes ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$10.5K@ 68.0¢
48binn0xe16e…bd58
🐋—38 minutes ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$20.3K@ 62.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$18.8K@ 60.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Diabolical-PrizeInvictus Gaming$59.2K
BUY VWAP 61.3¢·5 fills
0xf201…527eInvictus Gaming$31.7K
BUY VWAP 84.6¢·9 fills
trgparkingInvictus Gaming$30.7K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
48binnInvictus Gaming$18.2K
BUY VWAP 73.7¢·3 fills
Pfme2112Invictus Gaming$14.0K
BUY VWAP 79.8¢·8 fills
fkgggg2mouzfuriaTeam WE$12.2K
BUY VWAP 30.5¢·5 fills
zb8Invictus Gaming$11.4K
BUY VWAP 60.3¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.