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LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $74.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $1.0MEvent: LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
77.5¢
T1
22.5¢
Dplus KIA
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets14Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution89Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority45Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 14 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:306 trades$406.8K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 4 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:T1 · $7.8K net·14 wallets(1🐋)·$56.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYDplus KIA$42.0K@ 42¢·Diabolical-Prize

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

T1 pressure: $10.4K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$10.4K
6h
−$147.6K
tracked
$406.8K

14 verified profitable wallets: T1 · $7.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 45

Since latest liquidity absorption: -5.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from T1 or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 14:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against Dplus KIA.

•This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win the match against T1.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket semifinal match between T1 and Dplus KIA in the LCK Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against Dplus KIA. This market will resolve to "Dplus KIA" if Dplus KIA win the match against T1. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 6, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
2543217583 linked markets · $97.6K gross
fkcvffcjt2 linked markets · $91.9K gross
Diabolical-Prize3 linked markets · $80.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Dplus KIA@ 28.0¢48m ago
15m STALLED +2.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Dplus KIA1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Dplus KIA1h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Dplus KIA1h ago
Outcome checks pending
Latest book event: T1 UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $7.3K → $185 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor T1; negative values favor Dplus KIA. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hT1 · $10.4K
6hDplus KIA · $147.6K
24hDplus KIA · $104.3K

T1 price VWAP

Volume-weighted T1 price. Dplus KIA fills are converted to the complementary T1 probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current77.5¢
VWAP 24h58.4¢▲ above by 19.1pp
VWAP 7d58.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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T1 price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$2.8K
80¢
$423
75¢
← now
$9.0K
70¢
$45.1K
65¢
$5.3K
60¢
$4.8K
55¢
$286.1K
50¢
$48.9K
45¢
$10.6K
40¢
$12.8K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYDplus KIA$20.0K@ 45.4¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA$40.0K@ 45.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA$30.0K@ 44.5¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA$17.2K@ 43.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA$16.8K@ 42.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA$11.8K@ 42.0¢
SineNooneEI0x3833…33d1
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYDplus KIA$42.0K@ 42.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYT1$17.3K@ 58.0¢
madkkee0xd27c…c081
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYT1$18.0K@ 59.0¢
StasPanda0x7e5e…7315
🐋—1 day ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner
100.0¢$1.4Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner
46.0¢$468.7Kpriority45Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)
51.5¢$77.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner
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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner
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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner
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LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
100.0¢$802.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs
63.5¢$737.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

BrotherObamaDplus KIA$98.4K
BUY VWAP 45.1¢·5 fills
Diabolical-PrizeDplus KIA$75.9K
BUY VWAP 42.2¢·3 fills
StasPandaT1$18.0K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill
0x1610…ae49T1$17.5K
BUY VWAP 59.8¢·6 fills
madkkeeT1$17.3K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·1 fill
vtcchampion52T1$12.9K
BUY VWAP 57.4¢·8 fills
Zzzz87T1$12.1K
BUY VWAP 58.0¢·6 fills
SineNooneEIDplus KIA$11.8K
BUY VWAP 42.0¢·1 fill
MeiGuNiuBiT1$10.0K
BUY VWAP 56.3¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.