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LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs

● quote 15s ago
Sports→Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $59.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $876.5KEvent: LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
33.0¢
Ninjas in Pyjamas
67.0¢
LGD Gaming
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection12Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets34Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution79Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority50Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:241 trades$335.5K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:LGD Gaming · $14.7K net·12 wallets·$44.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLGD Gaming$36.0K@ 36¢·Diabolical-Prize

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

LGD Gaming pressure: $40.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$40.2K
6h
−$21.8K
tracked
$335.5K

12 verified profitable wallets: LGD Gaming · $14.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 75% · priority 50

Since latest liquidity absorption: -12.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from LGD Gaming or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win the match against LGD Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against Ninjas in Pyjamas.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Ninjas in Pyjamas and LGD Gaming in the LPL Playoffs, initially scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win the match against LGD Gaming. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against Ninjas in Pyjamas. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 20, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 6, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
JaJa8883 linked markets · $132.0K gross
Diabolical-Prize3 linked markets · $75.0K gross
0xe907…cff65 linked markets · $66.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Ninjas in Pyjamas@ 46.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -7.0pp1h CONFIRMED +13.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY LGD Gaming2h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY LGD Gaming2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY LGD Gaming@ 37.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +7.0pp1h CONFIRMED +13.0pp
Latest book event: Ninjas in Pyjamas DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $766 → $224 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Ninjas in Pyjamas; negative values favor LGD Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hLGD Gaming · $40.2K
6hLGD Gaming · $21.8K
24hNinjas in Pyjamas · $22.1K

Ninjas in Pyjamas price VWAP

Volume-weighted Ninjas in Pyjamas price. LGD Gaming fills are converted to the complementary Ninjas in Pyjamas probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current33.0¢
VWAP 24h59.8¢▼ below by 26.8pp
VWAP 7d59.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Ninjas in Pyjamas price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$86
65¢
$7.7K
60¢
$257.5K
55¢
$15.5K
50¢
$4.2K
45¢
$13.4K
40¢
$26.2K
35¢
$4.3K
30¢
← now
$6.7K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 60¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYLGD Gaming$14.9K@ 39.1¢0x9e3e…f882🐋—35 minutes ago
BUYNinjas in Pyjamas$10.5K@ 43.0¢
meoooow0xd202…8973
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYLGD Gaming$22.2K@ 37.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYLGD Gaming$36.0K@ 36.0¢
Diabolical-Prize0x7c37…6aeb
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYNinjas in Pyjamas$15.1K@ 64.0¢
carmelasoprano10xb99c…7e96
🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Diabolical-PrizeLGD Gaming$65.5K
BUY VWAP 36.4¢·5 fills
0x9e3e…f882LGD Gaming$29.0K
BUY VWAP 43.3¢·5 fills
meoooowNinjas in Pyjamas$23.2K
BUY VWAP 47.7¢·4 fills
Zzzz87Ninjas in Pyjamas$17.3K
BUY VWAP 63.6¢·6 fills
vtcchampion52Ninjas in Pyjamas$16.2K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·4 fills
carmelasoprano1Ninjas in Pyjamas$15.1K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill
SineNooneEILGD Gaming$11.1K
BUY VWAP 37.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.