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US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Marie Bouzkova

Sports→Settlement: Iga SwiatekLiquidity: $355.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $724.2KEvent: US Open WTA: Iga Swiatek vs Marie Bouzkova
100.0¢
Iga Swiatek payout
0.0¢
Marie Bouzkova payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:293 trades$297.4K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 916 min agoofficial metadata 894 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Iga Swiatek · $86.1K net·14 wallets(2🐋)·$110.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYIga Swiatek$20.8K@ 87¢·0b1fe

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Iga Swiatek. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-11 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Iga Swiatek and Marie Bouzkova in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 4, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Iga Swiatek' if Iga Swiatek advances against Marie Bouzkova. This market will resolve to 'Marie Bouzkova' if Marie Bouzkova advances against Iga Swiatek. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Iga Swiatek17h ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Marie Bouzkova17h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Iga Swiatek@ 80.0¢17h ago
15m CONFIRMED +9.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Marie Bouzkova@ 21.0¢18h ago
15m INVALIDATED -8.0pp1h INVALIDATED -5.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Iga Swiatek UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $85.8K → $30.6K · 13s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Iga Swiatek; negative values favor Marie Bouzkova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMarie Bouzkova · $436
6hIga Swiatek · $60.9K
24hIga Swiatek · $97.5K

Iga Swiatek price VWAP

Volume-weighted Iga Swiatek price. Marie Bouzkova fills are converted to the complementary Iga Swiatek probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h80.6¢▲ above by 19.4pp
VWAP 7d80.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Iga Swiatek price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$7.6K
90¢
$10.8K
85¢
$139.3K
80¢
$32.2K
75¢
$40.8K
70¢
$29.9K
65¢
$199
60¢
$34.6K
55¢
$10.0K
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 85¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYIga Swiatek$10.0K@ 59.0¢
soukaev0x7568…2ce1
🐋—about 17 hours ago
BUYMarie Bouzkova$11.0K@ 39.1¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 17 hours ago
BUYIga Swiatek$13.1K@ 87.0¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—about 17 hours ago
BUYIga Swiatek$13.3K@ 87.0¢
n0tTODAY0x89a6…429a
🐋—about 17 hours ago
BUYIga Swiatek$20.8K@ 87.0¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—about 17 hours ago
SELLIga Swiatek$17.5K@ 87.0¢
007theone10x1f71…b2e4
🐋—about 17 hours ago
BUYMarie Bouzkova$13.6K@ 25.8¢0x78be…bde0🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYIga Swiatek$10.1K@ 84.0¢
beeemw0x1e38…fd47
🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYIga Swiatek$15.6K@ 85.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 23 hours ago
BUYIga Swiatek$10.4K@ 85.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 23 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0b1feIga Swiatek$36.6K
BUY VWAP 86.9¢·3 fills
ferrariChampions2026Iga Swiatek$26.1K
BUY VWAP 85.0¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardIga Swiatek$24.9K
BUY VWAP 85.9¢·8 fills
0x78be…bde0Marie Bouzkova$18.6K
BUY VWAP 25.3¢·2 fills
007theone1Iga Swiatek$15.0K
BUY VWAP 79.0¢·2 fills
n0tTODAYIga Swiatek$13.3K
BUY VWAP 87.0¢·1 fill
0x5f65…2036Marie Bouzkova$11.0K
BUY VWAP 39.1¢·1 fill
AGUGavaIga Swiatek$10.8K
BUY VWAP 86.0¢·2 fills
beeemwIga Swiatek$10.1K
BUY VWAP 84.0¢·1 fill
soukaevIga Swiatek$10.0K
BUY VWAP 59.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.