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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers

Sports→Settlement: Tampa Bay RaysLiquidity: $146.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $220.8KEvent: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers
100.0¢
Tampa Bay Rays payout
0.0¢
Texas Rangers payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Tampa Bay Rays · $4.2K net·12 wallets·$23.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTampa Bay Rays$12.9K@ 52¢·ic4cream

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Tampa Bay Rays. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-12 00:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Tampa Bay Rays and Texas Rangers, scheduled for September 4 at 8:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Tampa Bay Rays" if the Tampa Bay Rays win the game. This market will resolve to "Texas Rangers" if the Texas Rangers win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $7.0K gross
curie2 linked markets · $5.6K gross
texaskid2 linked markets · $3.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tampa Bay Rays; negative values favor Texas Rangers. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTampa Bay Rays · $12.6K
6hTampa Bay Rays · $23.6K
24hTampa Bay Rays · $31.7K

Tampa Bay Rays price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tampa Bay Rays price. Texas Rangers fills are converted to the complementary Tampa Bay Rays probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h65.3¢▲ above by 34.7pp
VWAP 7d65.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tampa Bay Rays price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$14.3K
90¢
$158
85¢
$121
80¢
$2.6K
75¢
$8.1K
70¢
$9.2K
65¢
$2.6K
60¢
$15.3K
55¢
$15
50¢
$18.6K
45¢
$21.5K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTexas Rangers$12.0K@ 52.0¢
IAmHomelessNow0xd3fa…a26c
🐋—1 day ago
BUYTampa Bay Rays$12.9K@ 52.0¢
ic4cream0x27f7…44b0
🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ic4creamTampa Bay Rays$12.9K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill
IAmHomelessNowTexas Rangers$12.0K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.