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US Open WTA: Maya Joint vs Liudmila Samsonova

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 5 daysLiquidity: $103.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $179.3KEvent: US Open WTA: Maya Joint vs Liudmila Samsonova
100.0¢
Maya Joint
0.1¢
Liudmila Samsonova
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:47 trades$60.7K trackedsource coverage 34%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 135 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Liudmila Samsonova · $6.8K net·2 wallets·$6.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLiudmila Samsonova$6.6K@ 75¢·dirss

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$4.0K
tracked
$60.7K

2 verified profitable wallets: Liudmila Samsonova · $6.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 135 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Maya Joint and Liudmila Samsonova in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maya Joint' if Maya Joint advances against Liudmila Samsonova. This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Samsonova' if Liudmila Samsonova advances against Maya Joint. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Maya Joint UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $86.2K → $98.1K · 22s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Maya Joint; negative values favor Liudmila Samsonova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMaya Joint · $0
6hMaya Joint · $4.0K
24hLiudmila Samsonova · $10.7K

Maya Joint price VWAP

Volume-weighted Maya Joint price. Liudmila Samsonova fills are converted to the complementary Maya Joint probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h48.3¢▲ above by 51.6pp
VWAP 7d48.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Maya Joint price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$6.4K
90¢
$0
85¢
$3.8K
80¢
$91
75¢
$0
70¢
$1
65¢
$18
60¢
$5.3K
55¢
$135
50¢
$4.4K
45¢
$10.5K
40¢
$7.7K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$17.1K
20¢
$5.2K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 25¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

dirssLiudmila Samsonova$11.4K
BUY VWAP 64.4¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.