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US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Anastasia Zakharova

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 5 daysLiquidity: $206.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $415.3KEvent: US Open WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Anastasia Zakharova
100.0¢
Naomi Osaka
0.1¢
Anastasia Zakharova
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection25Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets97Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:110 trades$164.1K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Naomi Osaka · $39.3K net·6 wallets(1🐋)·$40.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNaomi Osaka$14.6K@ 91¢·0F62

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Naomi Osaka pressure: $40.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$40.8K
6h
+$110.4K
tracked
$164.1K

6 verified profitable wallets: Naomi Osaka · $39.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +9.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 9.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Naomi Osaka or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-06 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Naomi Osaka and Anastasia Zakharova in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Naomi Osaka' if Naomi Osaka advances against Anastasia Zakharova. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Zakharova' if Anastasia Zakharova advances against Naomi Osaka. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Naomi Osaka@ 91.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +4.0pp1h STALLED +0.3pp
Latest book event: Naomi Osaka DOWN 4.4pp · near-book depth $32.1K → $106.8K · 101s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Naomi Osaka; negative values favor Anastasia Zakharova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNaomi Osaka · $40.8K
6hNaomi Osaka · $110.4K
24hNaomi Osaka · $111.6K

Naomi Osaka price VWAP

Volume-weighted Naomi Osaka price. Anastasia Zakharova fills are converted to the complementary Naomi Osaka probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h92.5¢▲ above by 7.4pp
VWAP 7d92.5¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Naomi Osaka price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$75.1K
90¢
$58.9K
85¢
$11.4K
80¢
$5.4K
75¢
$12.2K
70¢
$4
65¢
$1.0K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNaomi Osaka$13.0K@ 97.7¢
Flaznorp0x821d…cf16
🐋—40 minutes ago
BUYNaomi Osaka$13.7K@ 97.9¢
hd7770x986b…bdc6
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYNaomi Osaka$14.0K@ 97.8¢
hd7770x986b…bdc6
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYNaomi Osaka$10.0K@ 89.2¢
Rex4160x9a3f…914a
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYNaomi Osaka$10.0K@ 96.5¢
KevinEasyMoney270x55f5…e2a0
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYNaomi Osaka$14.6K@ 91.0¢
0F620xccd8…f4de
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYNaomi Osaka$10.9K@ 90.1¢
Novelty80x5c03…31bb
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

hd777Naomi Osaka$33.0K
BUY VWAP 97.5¢·3 fills
0F62Naomi Osaka$20.7K
BUY VWAP 90.9¢·3 fills
FlaznorpNaomi Osaka$14.3K
BUY VWAP 97.5¢·3 fills
Novelty8Naomi Osaka$10.9K
BUY VWAP 90.1¢·1 fill
HomeRunHazardNaomi Osaka$10.1K
BUY VWAP 95.6¢·5 fills
Rex416Naomi Osaka$10.0K
BUY VWAP 89.2¢·1 fill
KevinEasyMoney27Naomi Osaka$10.0K
BUY VWAP 96.5¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.