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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $376.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $366.9KEvent: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
100.0¢
Philadelphia Phillies
0.1¢
Arizona Diamondbacks
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection19Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets18Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 90%💡 12 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:171 trades$217.0K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 59%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Philadelphia Phillies · $5.2K net·12 wallets·$29.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLPhiladelphia Phillies$35.9K@ 100¢·Feromont

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Arizona Diamondbacks pressure: $41.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$41.2K
6h
−$2.1K
tracked
$217.0K

12 verified profitable wallets: Philadelphia Phillies · $5.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 90% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +51.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 51.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Arizona Diamondbacks or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-09-08 01:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for August 31 at 9:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Philadelphia Phillies1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 49.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +18.0pp1h CONFIRMED +33.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 53.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h CONFIRMED +31.0pp
Latest book event: Philadelphia Phillies UP 8.0pp · near-book depth $192 → $9 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Philadelphia Phillies; negative values favor Arizona Diamondbacks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hArizona Diamondbacks · $41.2K
6hArizona Diamondbacks · $2.1K
24hPhiladelphia Phillies · $4.9K

Philadelphia Phillies price VWAP

Volume-weighted Philadelphia Phillies price. Arizona Diamondbacks fills are converted to the complementary Philadelphia Phillies probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h69.4¢▲ above by 30.5pp
VWAP 7d69.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Philadelphia Phillies price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$38.8K
90¢
$8.8K
85¢
$16.7K
80¢
$5.3K
75¢
$2.0K
70¢
$8.9K
65¢
$3.4K
60¢
$56.4K
55¢
$6.5K
50¢
$65.9K
45¢
$4.2K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLPhiladelphia Phillies$35.9K@ 99.9¢
Feromont0xabb8…bba3
🐋—3 minutes ago
SELLPhiladelphia Phillies$12.9K@ 86.0¢
Feromont0xabb8…bba3
🐋—26 minutes ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$24.0K@ 62.0¢
Feromont0xabb8…bba3
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$14.6K@ 60.0¢
Feromont0xabb8…bba3
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$24.5K@ 53.0¢
NiNo9990xcd65…ee96
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$13.0K@ 47.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 15 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

FeromontPhiladelphia Phillies$40.1K
BUY VWAP 61.1¢·3 fills
NiNo999Philadelphia Phillies$24.5K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill
SDTradingArizona Diamondbacks$13.0K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Arizona Diamondbacks$12.1K
BUY VWAP 48.7¢·3 fills
HomeRunHazardPhiladelphia Phillies$10.7K
BUY VWAP 55.8¢·2 fills
0xb4f9…c9a7Arizona Diamondbacks$10.1K
BUY VWAP 40.2¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.