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Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)

Sports→Settlement: LGD GamingLiquidity: $150.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $27.2KEvent: LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
100.0¢
LGD Gaming payout
0.0¢
ThunderTalk Gaming payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:4 trades$26.0K tracked25% 🐋source coverage 95%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 816 min agoofficial metadata 760 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLGD Gaming$13.0K@ 100¢·darkes1

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome LGD Gaming. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-23 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming wins 2 or more games than ThunderTalk Gaming in this match.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming".

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming wins 2 or more games than ThunderTalk Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 23, 2026 at 3:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
NrNrfNrf22 linked markets · $75.2K gross
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl63 linked markets · $38.9K gross
geiyecapixie2 linked markets · $31.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor LGD Gaming; negative values favor ThunderTalk Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hThunderTalk Gaming · $18.9K
6hThunderTalk Gaming · $11.8K
24hThunderTalk Gaming · $11.8K

LGD Gaming price VWAP

Volume-weighted LGD Gaming price. ThunderTalk Gaming fills are converted to the complementary LGD Gaming probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h83.2¢▲ above by 16.8pp
VWAP 7d83.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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LGD Gaming price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$18.9K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$7.1K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLLGD Gaming$13.0K@ 99.9¢
darkes10xac23…a875
🐋—about 14 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.