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Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $250.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $196.8KEvent: Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
80.5¢
Cincinnati Reds
19.5¢
Arizona Diamondbacks
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection3Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets81Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority62Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:39 trades$79.6K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 40%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 6 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Arizona Diamondbacks · $26.3K net·4 wallets(1🐋)·$32.6K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYArizona Diamondbacks$28.2K@ 56¢·SDTrading

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Arizona Diamondbacks pressure: $2.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$2.2K
6h
+$2.2K
tracked
$79.6K

4 verified profitable wallets: Arizona Diamondbacks · $26.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 75% · priority 62

Since latest large flow: +43.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 43.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Arizona Diamondbacks or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-30 20:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for August 23 at 4:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds" if the Cincinnati Reds win the game. This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
SDTrading2 linked markets · $50.1K gross
0x3dfb…abaf3 linked markets · $48.2K gross
1winstreak12 linked markets · $6.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Cincinnati Reds43m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Cincinnati Reds@ 38.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +20.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Arizona Diamondbacks@ 56.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +1.0pp
Latest book event: Arizona Diamondbacks DOWN 7.5pp · near-book depth $105 → $61 · 3s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cincinnati Reds; negative values favor Arizona Diamondbacks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hArizona Diamondbacks · $2.2K
6hCincinnati Reds · $2.2K
24hArizona Diamondbacks · $24.2K

Cincinnati Reds price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cincinnati Reds price. Arizona Diamondbacks fills are converted to the complementary Cincinnati Reds probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current80.5¢
VWAP 24h44.1¢▲ above by 36.4pp
VWAP 7d44.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cincinnati Reds price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
← now
$11
75¢
$0
70¢
$1.5K
65¢
$1.9K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$4.3K
40¢
$66.4K
35¢
$5.6K
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYCincinnati Reds$18.2K@ 43.1¢0xfe54…41d6🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$28.2K@ 56.0¢
SDTrading0x16bb…8492
🐋—about 9 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

SDTradingArizona Diamondbacks$29.4K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·2 fills
0xfe54…41d6Cincinnati Reds$18.2K
BUY VWAP 43.1¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.