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Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $177.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $423.5KEvent: Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners
83.5¢
Chicago Cubs
16.5¢
Seattle Mariners
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection2Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets54Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 6 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:83 trades$171.1K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 42%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 37s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Chicago Cubs · $71.9K net·6 wallets(1🐋)·$134.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYChicago Cubs$81.0K@ 53¢·ferrariChampions2026

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Chicago Cubs pressure: $3.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$3.9K
6h
+$102.0K
tracked
$171.1K

6 verified profitable wallets: Chicago Cubs · $71.9K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 56

Since latest liquidity absorption: +31.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable BUY price moved 31.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Chicago Cubs or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-30 20:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Chicago Cubs and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for August 23 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $21.2K gross
1winstreak12 linked markets · $5.1K gross
0x56cc…d5892 linked markets · $18 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Chicago Cubs@ 53.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -13.0pp1h CONFIRMED +29.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago Cubs@ 54.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -3.0pp1h INVALIDATED -26.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Chicago Cubs@ 52.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h INVALIDATED -15.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Seattle Mariners@ 49.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -2.0pp6h CONFIRMED +13.0pp
Latest book event: Chicago Cubs DOWN 3.5pp · near-book depth $5.0K → $31 · 8s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Chicago Cubs; negative values favor Seattle Mariners. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hChicago Cubs · $3.9K
6hChicago Cubs · $102.0K
24hChicago Cubs · $95.0K

Chicago Cubs price VWAP

Volume-weighted Chicago Cubs price. Seattle Mariners fills are converted to the complementary Chicago Cubs probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current83.5¢
VWAP 24h53.1¢▲ above by 30.4pp
VWAP 7d53.1¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Chicago Cubs price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$7.1K
80¢
← now
$5
75¢
$2.1K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$1.2K
50¢
$150.0K
45¢
$2.6K
40¢
$3.8K
35¢
$2.1K
30¢
$184
25¢
$2.0K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYChicago Cubs$81.0K@ 53.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYSeattle Mariners$21.0K@ 50.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 8 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Chicago Cubs$81.0K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·1 fill
ferrariChampions2026Seattle Mariners$24.2K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·3 fills
PetsViljandistChicago Cubs$15.3K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardChicago Cubs$15.0K
BUY VWAP 53.0¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.