PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe

● quote just now
Sports→Closes: 7 daysLiquidity: $362.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $903.6KEvent: Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe
56.5¢
Arthur Fils
43.5¢
Frances Tiafoe
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection16Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets40Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 85%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:132 trades$368.9K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 41%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Arthur Fils · $38.6K net·9 wallets(2🐋)·$89.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFrances Tiafoe$32.0K@ 36¢·0x5f65…2036

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Arthur Fils SETUP
What the tape says

Arthur Fils pressure: $55.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$55.8K
6h
+$33.9K
tracked
$368.9K

9 verified profitable wallets: Arthur Fils · $38.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 85% · priority 57

Since latest liquidity absorption: -27.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Arthur Fils or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-08-30 20:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fils and Frances Tiafoe in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Frances Tiafoe. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Arthur Fils. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Arthur Fils@ 84.0¢23m ago
15m INVALIDATED -23.0pp
LIQUIDITY ABSORPTIONBUY Frances Tiafoe@ 17.0¢23m ago
15m CONFIRMED +21.0pp
ANTI CHASEBUY Arthur Fils52m ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Frances Tiafoe@ 35.0¢1h ago
15m INVALIDATED -15.0pp1h CONFIRMED +3.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Arthur Fils; negative values favor Frances Tiafoe. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hArthur Fils · $55.8K
6hArthur Fils · $33.9K
24hArthur Fils · $42.7K

Arthur Fils price VWAP

Volume-weighted Arthur Fils price. Frances Tiafoe fills are converted to the complementary Arthur Fils probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current56.5¢
VWAP 24h69.6¢▼ below by 13.1pp
VWAP 7d69.6¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Arthur Fils price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$17.2K
80¢
$71.6K
75¢
$3.1K
70¢
$4.8K
65¢
$181.7K
60¢
$45.8K
55¢
← now
$0
50¢
$44.8K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLArthur Fils$11.1K@ 51.5¢
eokho0xff81…44c9
🐋—3 minutes ago
BUYArthur Fils$15.0K@ 86.2¢
afraz0xca64…4f43
🐋—26 minutes ago
BUYArthur Fils$21.8K@ 80.0¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYArthur Fils$12.3K@ 66.9¢
Tantula0xd607…842a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFrances Tiafoe$32.0K@ 35.8¢0x5f65…2036🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYArthur Fils$29.7K@ 66.0¢
0b1fe0x9bb1…4dbe
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYFrances Tiafoe$13.4K@ 35.0¢
0xwise0x0e60…3bad
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYFrances Tiafoe$11.2K@ 34.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Shifters vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
0.1¢$744.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Athletics vs. Houston Astros
100.0¢$713.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners
83.5¢$423.5Kpriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.1¢$416.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers
0.1¢$384.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?
4.5¢$344.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026?
10.5¢$304.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Minnesota Twins vs. San Diego Padres
42.5¢$289.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x5f65…2036Frances Tiafoe$41.8K
BUY VWAP 29.3¢·2 fills
0b1feArthur Fils$29.7K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·1 fill
tennischampArthur Fils$23.6K
BUY VWAP 79.3¢·2 fills
0xwiseFrances Tiafoe$18.9K
BUY VWAP 31.5¢·3 fills
TantulaArthur Fils$18.5K
BUY VWAP 62.9¢·3 fills
ferrariChampions2026Frances Tiafoe$15.3K
BUY VWAP 27.9¢·3 fills
afrazArthur Fils$15.0K
BUY VWAP 86.2¢·1 fill
eokhoArthur Fils$14.4K
BUY VWAP 66.4¢·2 fills
NO-GOD-PLEASE-NOArthur Fils$12.8K
BUY VWAP 66.3¢·3 fills
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl6Frances Tiafoe$11.4K
BUY VWAP 34.6¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.