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Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-1.5)

Sports→Closes: 2 daysLiquidity: $130.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $79.6KEvent: Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
99.9¢
Arizona Diamondbacks
2.0¢
Cincinnati Reds
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Arizona Diamondbacks · $4.5K net·3 wallets·$4.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYArizona Diamondbacks$15.0K@ 41¢·IcemanSeason

Decision read paused

Market status is CLOSED. No executable setup is shown until trading is open again.

CLOSED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
CLOSED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-22 01:40 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game by 2 or more runs.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cincinnati Reds and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for August 21 at 9:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks" if the Arizona Diamondbacks win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Cincinnati Reds". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x3dfb…abaf2 linked markets · $41.1K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $39.3K gross
swisstony2 linked markets · $410 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Arizona Diamondbacks@ 40.0¢2d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market closed · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Arizona Diamondbacks; negative values favor Cincinnati Reds. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hArizona Diamondbacks · $0
6hArizona Diamondbacks · $15.1K
24hArizona Diamondbacks · $30.1K

Arizona Diamondbacks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks price. Cincinnati Reds fills are converted to the complementary Arizona Diamondbacks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h41.4¢▲ above by 58.5pp
VWAP 7d41.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Arizona Diamondbacks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$13
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$1
75¢
$0
70¢
$168
65¢
$10
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$316
45¢
$0
40¢
$29.6K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYArizona Diamondbacks$15.0K@ 40.8¢
IcemanSeason0xb939…da70
🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

IcemanSeasonArizona Diamondbacks$15.0K
BUY VWAP 40.8¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.