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Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs

Sports→Settlement: Team LiquidLiquidity: $2.7MOfficial 24h Vol: $5.0MEvent: Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffs
100.0¢
Team Liquid payout
0.0¢
Team Falcons payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Liquid · $403.2K net·27 wallets(2🐋)·$616.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Liquid$119.7K@ 60¢·Djdjdjekekek

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Team Liquid. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-21 12:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Team Falcons.

•This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Team Liquid.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Lower bracket round 1 match between Team Liquid and Team Falcons in the The International Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 21, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win the match against Team Falcons. This market will resolve to "Team Falcons" if Team Falcons win the match against Team Liquid. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 21, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Djdjdjekekek3 linked markets · $790.8K gross
1111111111153 linked markets · $368.5K gross
landighertz3 linked markets · $329.7K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

DEADLINE POSITIONINGBUY Team Liquid@ 100.0¢3d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Team Falcons@ 65.0¢3d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
CONFIRMED BUILDBUY Team Liquid@ 36.0¢3d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Team Liquid3d ago
Outcome checks pending

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Team Liquid; negative values favor Team Falcons. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Liquid · $352.0K
6hTeam Liquid · $864.0K
24hTeam Liquid · $849.6K

Team Liquid price VWAP

Volume-weighted Team Liquid price. Team Falcons fills are converted to the complementary Team Liquid probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h69.2¢▲ above by 30.8pp
VWAP 7d69.2¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Team Liquid price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$724.1K
90¢
$18.0K
85¢
$35.7K
80¢
$31.6K
75¢
$12.8K
70¢
$4.5K
65¢
$50.3K
60¢
$111.7K
55¢
$510.0K
50¢
$518.8K
45¢
$67.6K
40¢
$73.4K
35¢
$27.8K
30¢
$41.2K
25¢
$84.6K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLTeam Liquid$19.3K@ 99.9¢
PIKALEVSKIY-MONSTR0x2929…1dd0
🐋—3 days ago
SELLTeam Liquid$11.7K@ 99.9¢
oolll0xb4e7…6a52
🐋—3 days ago
SELLTeam Liquid$11.4K@ 99.9¢
fedg22220x5c84…8d22
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$69.0K@ 99.9¢0x2c33…0563🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$79.9K@ 99.9¢
DotG0xcd36…0f01
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$30.0K@ 99.9¢
ColdW0x2765…7ee4
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$109.9K@ 99.9¢
landighertz0x73b1…bd8b
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$25.0K@ 99.9¢0x3b63…4acd🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$11.2K@ 99.9¢0xbc3a…a2ab🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$73.3K@ 99.9¢
LuckyWin0x5922…3388
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$28.3K@ 99.9¢
LUCKYME0010x9a40…840e
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$43.0K@ 99.9¢
degenofweb30x4d51…4946
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$34.1K@ 99.9¢
LhordGryffin0x9909…311c
🐋—3 days ago
SELLTeam Liquid$13.4K@ 67.5¢
Happyaq0xfa39…bb64
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$11.9K@ 60.0¢
Happyaq0xfa39…bb64
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$12.0K@ 60.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$89.9K@ 59.9¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$119.7K@ 59.8¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$88.5K@ 59.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$35.4K@ 59.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$17.0K@ 58.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$14.5K@ 58.0¢
GEAEW0x88c3…bea3
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$18.9K@ 54.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—3 days ago
SELLTeam Falcons$26.2K@ 47.0¢
vtcchampion520xc69b…2076
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Falcons$46.7K@ 72.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$11.1K@ 30.0¢0x547f…2937🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Falcons$10.0K@ 71.8¢
tony19190x733b…7260
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$10.6K@ 42.5¢0x547f…2937🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$12.3K@ 55.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$89.8K@ 54.9¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$48.9K@ 54.3¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$21.9K@ 54.9¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$19.5K@ 54.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Falcons$14.0K@ 47.0¢0xe16d…5e30🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$26.3K@ 53.0¢
Djdjdjekekek0x6d20…a165
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Liquid$10.6K@ 53.0¢
tb1020x1896…a7d6
🐋—3 days ago
BUYTeam Falcons$14.4K@ 48.0¢
thatguythatguy0x3170…c6a0
🐋—3 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

DjdjdjekekekTeam Liquid$338.3K
BUY VWAP 56.3¢·7 fills
111111111115Team Liquid$278.9K
BUY VWAP 57.6¢·11 fills
landighertzTeam Liquid$109.9K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Team Liquid$96.2K
BUY VWAP 81.5¢·5 fills
DotGTeam Liquid$79.9K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
LuckyWinTeam Liquid$73.3K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Team Falcons$46.7K
BUY VWAP 72.0¢·1 fill
vtcchampion52Team Falcons$45.9K
BUY VWAP 46.0¢·19 fills
degenofweb3Team Liquid$43.0K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
0x547f…2937Team Liquid$36.8K
BUY VWAP 36.8¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.