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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners

Sports→Settlement: Philadelphia PhilliesLiquidity: $474.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $308.0KEvent: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners
100.0¢
Philadelphia Phillies payout
0.0¢
Seattle Mariners payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$74.5K@ 56¢·0x3dfb…abaf

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Philadelphia Phillies. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-09-02 20:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.mlb.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Seattle Mariners, scheduled for August 26 at 4:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Philadelphia Phillies" if the Philadelphia Phillies win the game. This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Philadelphia Phillies11d ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Philadelphia Phillies11d ago
Outcome checks pending
POSITION CHANGEBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 75.0¢11d ago
15m CONFIRMED +21.0pp1h CONFIRMED +22.6pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Philadelphia Phillies@ 57.0¢11d ago
15m CONFIRMED +25.0pp1h CONFIRMED +39.3pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Philadelphia Phillies; negative values favor Seattle Mariners. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPhiladelphia Phillies · $15.2K
6hPhiladelphia Phillies · $120.2K
24hPhiladelphia Phillies · $129.8K

Philadelphia Phillies price VWAP

Volume-weighted Philadelphia Phillies price. Seattle Mariners fills are converted to the complementary Philadelphia Phillies probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h64.9¢▲ above by 35.1pp
VWAP 7d64.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Philadelphia Phillies price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$17.4K
90¢
$13.4K
85¢
$4
80¢
$8.0K
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$2.6K
55¢
$119.1K
50¢
$3.7K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLPhiladelphia Phillies$13.4K@ 94.8¢
KeldonRepuestos0x54d0…8e20
🐋—11 days ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$74.5K@ 56.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—11 days ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$13.7K@ 55.0¢0x3dfb…abaf🐋—11 days ago
BUYPhiladelphia Phillies$11.3K@ 55.0¢
ic4cream0x27f7…44b0
🐋—11 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.