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LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group

Sports→Settlement: Nongshim Red ForceLiquidity: $727.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $2.1MEvent: LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group
0.0¢
BNK FEARX payout
100.0¢
Nongshim Red Force payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:442 trades$977.7K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 476 min agoofficial metadata 450 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:BNK FEARX · $37.5K net·18 wallets(2🐋)·$154.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBNK FEARX$42.5K@ 55¢·111111111115

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Nongshim Red Force. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-08-23 16:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against Nongshim Red Force.

•This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win the match against BNK FEARX.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL match between BNK FEARX and Nongshim Red Force in the LCK Round 3-4 Rise Group, initially scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "BNK FEARX" if BNK FEARX win the match against Nongshim Red Force. This market will resolve to "Nongshim Red Force" if Nongshim Red Force win the match against BNK FEARX. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 23, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
2543217583 linked markets · $206.8K gross
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl63 linked markets · $61.5K gross
solo888883 linked markets · $49.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ACCUMULATIONBUY Nongshim Red Force@ 86.0¢10h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Nongshim Red Force@ 86.0¢10h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Nongshim Red Force11h ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY BNK FEARX@ 37.0¢11h ago
15m STALLED -3.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: BNK FEARX DOWN 7.0pp · near-book depth $47 → $182 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor BNK FEARX; negative values favor Nongshim Red Force. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBNK FEARX · $2.4K
6hBNK FEARX · $187.7K
24hBNK FEARX · $181.8K

BNK FEARX price VWAP

Volume-weighted BNK FEARX price. Nongshim Red Force fills are converted to the complementary BNK FEARX probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h30.9¢▼ below by 30.9pp
VWAP 7d30.9¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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BNK FEARX price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$293
75¢
$3.5K
70¢
$14.3K
65¢
$1.0K
60¢
$1.1K
55¢
$74.3K
50¢
$288.0K
45¢
$66.9K
40¢
$20.9K
35¢
$38.0K
30¢
$28.2K
25¢
$53.8K
20¢
$26.8K
15¢
$21.9K
10¢
$29.4K
5¢
$7.8K
0¢
← now
$301.7K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLNongshim Red Force$16.2K@ 99.9¢
0x21120x8f3a…5ad0
🐋—about 9 hours ago
SELLNongshim Red Force$16.0K@ 99.9¢
sofa888880xa103…1c14
🐋—about 9 hours ago
SELLNongshim Red Force$25.2K@ 99.9¢
NrNrfNrf20xf70f…3c97
🐋—about 10 hours ago
SELLNongshim Red Force$11.0K@ 99.9¢
0x21120x8f3a…5ad0
🐋—about 10 hours ago
SELLNongshim Red Force$23.8K@ 99.9¢
danielwolfmorales3pddb6dl60xf377…4159
🐋—about 10 hours ago
SELLNongshim Red Force$14.4K@ 99.9¢
CCCYS0x0c9f…5f5a
🐋—about 10 hours ago
SELLNongshim Red Force$10.8K@ 99.9¢
madkkee0xd27c…c081
🐋—about 10 hours ago
SELLNongshim Red Force$21.2K@ 99.9¢
verifly0x5286…0d47
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYNongshim Red Force$33.0K@ 99.0¢
48binn0xe16e…bd58
🐋—about 10 hours ago
SELLNongshim Red Force$12.9K@ 86.0¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—about 10 hours ago
BUYNongshim Red Force$17.3K@ 80.4¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYNongshim Red Force$15.8K@ 74.0¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—about 11 hours ago
SELLBNK FEARX$10.5K@ 53.0¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYBNK FEARX$11.3K@ 56.7¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYBNK FEARX$14.3K@ 55.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYBNK FEARX$11.2K@ 56.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYBNK FEARX$11.0K@ 54.0¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYBNK FEARX$42.5K@ 54.7¢
1111111111150xcd30…f316
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYNongshim Red Force$12.6K@ 50.2¢
NrNrfNrf20xf70f…3c97
🐋—about 11 hours ago
BUYBNK FEARX$10.5K@ 49.2¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 12 hours ago
BUYBNK FEARX$13.0K@ 49.3¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYNongshim Red Force$11.8K@ 49.4¢
0x21120x8f3a…5ad0
🐋—about 13 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

111111111115BNK FEARX$124.4K
BUY VWAP 54.9¢·10 fills
254321758Nongshim Red Force$61.0K
BUY VWAP 67.8¢·6 fills
48binnNongshim Red Force$36.6K
BUY VWAP 95.8¢·4 fills
BrotherObamaBNK FEARX$23.5K
BUY VWAP 49.3¢·2 fills
0xf201…527eBNK FEARX$19.7K
BUY VWAP 33.9¢·9 fills
laopilaoNongshim Red Force$16.3K
BUY VWAP 55.8¢·3 fills
fkgggg2mouzfuriaNongshim Red Force$16.0K
BUY VWAP 47.4¢·3 fills
vtcchampion52BNK FEARX$14.4K
BUY VWAP 62.0¢·6 fills
jtwyslljyNongshim Red Force$14.3K
BUY VWAP 48.8¢·2 fills
0xheavy888Nongshim Red Force$13.7K
BUY VWAP 68.4¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.